**No Meeting by September 30 leads decisively because the 60-day negotiation window under the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum expired in mid-August without a final accord on Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, or Strait of Hormuz management.** Ongoing disputes over implementation, including Lebanon deconfliction and fresh U.S. sanctions targeting Iranian oil exports to China, have produced conflicting public statements and stalled momentum. Prior rounds occurred in Switzerland and involved Qatari and Pakistani mediators, yet recent reports show no confirmed high-level or technical sessions scheduled through late August. Traders price limited near-term resumption risk into the low-single-digit probabilities for traditional venues such as Switzerland, Pakistan, or Qatar, reflecting the absence of verified diplomatic catalysts before the September 30 cutoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअमेरिका - ईरान शांति वार्ता का अगला दौर कहाँ होगा...?
30 सितंबर तक कोई बैठक नहीं 74.6%
पाकिस्तान 10.3%
स्विट्ज़रलैंड 10%
कतर 3.9%
$5,186,370 वॉल्यूम
$5,186,370 वॉल्यूम
30 सितंबर तक कोई बैठक नहीं
75%
पाकिस्तान
10%
स्विट्ज़रलैंड
10%
कतर
4%
ओमान
1%
तुर्की
1%
ऑस्ट्रिया
<1%
अन्य - यूरोप
<1%
मिस्र
<1%
अन्य
<1%
इटली
<1%
अमेरिका
<1%
सऊदी अरब
<1%
अन्य - मध्य पूर्व/उत्तरी अफ्रीका
<1%
यूएई
<1%
इराक
<1%
ईरान
<1%
कज़ाख़स्तान
<1%
रूस
<1%
30 सितंबर तक कोई बैठक नहीं 74.6%
पाकिस्तान 10.3%
स्विट्ज़रलैंड 10%
कतर 3.9%
$5,186,370 वॉल्यूम
$5,186,370 वॉल्यूम
30 सितंबर तक कोई बैठक नहीं
75%
पाकिस्तान
10%
स्विट्ज़रलैंड
10%
कतर
4%
ओमान
1%
तुर्की
1%
ऑस्ट्रिया
<1%
अन्य - यूरोप
<1%
मिस्र
<1%
अन्य
<1%
इटली
<1%
अमेरिका
<1%
सऊदी अरब
<1%
अन्य - मध्य पूर्व/उत्तरी अफ्रीका
<1%
यूएई
<1%
इराक
<1%
ईरान
<1%
कज़ाख़स्तान
<1%
रूस
<1%
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.
If the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa.”
If the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe.”
For purposes of this market, countries’ regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.
If the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by September 30.”
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 22, 2026, 10:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.
If the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa.”
If the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe.”
For purposes of this market, countries’ regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.
If the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by September 30.”
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**No Meeting by September 30 leads decisively because the 60-day negotiation window under the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum expired in mid-August without a final accord on Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, or Strait of Hormuz management.** Ongoing disputes over implementation, including Lebanon deconfliction and fresh U.S. sanctions targeting Iranian oil exports to China, have produced conflicting public statements and stalled momentum. Prior rounds occurred in Switzerland and involved Qatari and Pakistani mediators, yet recent reports show no confirmed high-level or technical sessions scheduled through late August. Traders price limited near-term resumption risk into the low-single-digit probabilities for traditional venues such as Switzerland, Pakistan, or Qatar, reflecting the absence of verified diplomatic catalysts before the September 30 cutoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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