Recent inflation readings above target and resilient economic growth have shifted trader focus toward the possibility of Federal Reserve rate hikes rather than cuts through late 2026, supporting the leading probabilities on 3.75% and 4.0%. The June dot plot showed a median endpoint near 3.75–4.0%, with nine participants seeing higher levels by year-end amid concerns over energy prices and price stability under Chair Kevin Warsh. Markets now price limited easing or modest tightening ahead, keeping the range tight as incoming data on PCE, employment, and geopolitical factors could alter the path. Scheduled FOMC meetings and any shifts in inflation trends remain key catalysts that could widen separation among outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3.75% 40.4%
4.0% 30.3%
4.25% 13.9%
3.5% 8.9%
$6,763,832 वॉल्यूम
$6,763,832 वॉल्यूम
8 दिस, 2026
≤1.0%
1%
1.25
1%
1.5%
<1%
1.75%
<1%
2.0%
<1%
2.25%
<1%
2.5%
1%
2.75%
1%
3.0%
1%
3.25%
2%
3.5%
9%
3.75%
40%
4.0%
30%
4.25%
14%
≥ 4.5%
5%
3.75% 40.4%
4.0% 30.3%
4.25% 13.9%
3.5% 8.9%
$6,763,832 वॉल्यूम
$6,763,832 वॉल्यूम
8 दिस, 2026
≤1.0%
$246,132 वॉल्यूम
1%
1.25
$142,983 वॉल्यूम
1%
1.5%
$146,382 वॉल्यूम
<1%
1.75%
$148,207 वॉल्यूम
<1%
2.0%
$263,562 वॉल्यूम
<1%
2.25%
$87,683 वॉल्यूम
<1%
2.5%
$172,965 वॉल्यूम
1%
2.75%
$61,142 वॉल्यूम
1%
3.0%
$488,831 वॉल्यूम
1%
3.25%
$66,074 वॉल्यूम
2%
3.5%
$202,486 वॉल्यूम
9%
3.75%
$531,856 वॉल्यूम
40%
4.0%
$1,369,355 वॉल्यूम
30%
4.25%
$428,209 वॉल्यूम
14%
≥ 4.5%
$2,407,967 वॉल्यूम
5%
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).Recent inflation readings above target and resilient economic growth have shifted trader focus toward the possibility of Federal Reserve rate hikes rather than cuts through late 2026, supporting the leading probabilities on 3.75% and 4.0%. The June dot plot showed a median endpoint near 3.75–4.0%, with nine participants seeing higher levels by year-end amid concerns over energy prices and price stability under Chair Kevin Warsh. Markets now price limited easing or modest tightening ahead, keeping the range tight as incoming data on PCE, employment, and geopolitical factors could alter the path. Scheduled FOMC meetings and any shifts in inflation trends remain key catalysts that could widen separation among outcomes.
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 12, 2026, 12:43 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,763,832समाप्ति तिथि
9 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 12, 2026, 12:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).Recent inflation readings above target and resilient economic growth have shifted trader focus toward the possibility of Federal Reserve rate hikes rather than cuts through late 2026, supporting the leading probabilities on 3.75% and 4.0%. The June dot plot showed a median endpoint near 3.75–4.0%, with nine participants seeing higher levels by year-end amid concerns over energy prices and price stability under Chair Kevin Warsh. Markets now price limited easing or modest tightening ahead, keeping the range tight as incoming data on PCE, employment, and geopolitical factors could alter the path. Scheduled FOMC meetings and any shifts in inflation trends remain key catalysts that could widen separation among outcomes.
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
वॉल्यूम
$6,763,832समाप्ति तिथि
9 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 12, 2026, 12:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent inflation readings above target and resilient economic growth have shifted trader focus toward the possibility of Federal Reserve rate hikes rather than cuts through late 2026, supporting the leading probabilities on 3.75% and 4.0%. The June dot plot showed a median endpoint near 3.75–4.0%, with nine participants seeing higher levels by year-end amid concerns over energy prices and price stability under Chair Kevin Warsh. Markets now price limited easing or modest tightening ahead, keeping the range tight as incoming data on PCE, employment, and geopolitical factors could alter the path. Scheduled FOMC meetings and any shifts in inflation trends remain key catalysts that could widen separation among outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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