Vermont’s at-large congressional district has elected Democrats continuously since 1990, reflecting consistent voter preferences in a state with no Republican House winner since 1988. Incumbent Democrat Becca Balint, seeking a third term after winning reelection by more than 30 points in 2024, secured her party’s nomination in the August 11 primary with overwhelming support. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows her leading the Republican nominee, Gerald Malloy, by wide margins of 32 to 38 points. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in state voting patterns, underpin trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A realistic challenge would require an unprecedented national Republican wave, a late scandal affecting Balint, or significant changes in turnout among key voter blocs.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाVT - AL हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
VT - AL हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$28,518 वॉल्यूम
$28,518 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$28,518 वॉल्यूम
$28,518 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,650 वॉल्यूम
95%
Republican Party
$19,868 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont’s at-large congressional district has elected Democrats continuously since 1990, reflecting consistent voter preferences in a state with no Republican House winner since 1988. Incumbent Democrat Becca Balint, seeking a third term after winning reelection by more than 30 points in 2024, secured her party’s nomination in the August 11 primary with overwhelming support. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows her leading the Republican nominee, Gerald Malloy, by wide margins of 32 to 38 points. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in state voting patterns, underpin trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A realistic challenge would require an unprecedented national Republican wave, a late scandal affecting Balint, or significant changes in turnout among key voter blocs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$28,518समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont’s at-large congressional district has elected Democrats continuously since 1990, reflecting consistent voter preferences in a state with no Republican House winner since 1988. Incumbent Democrat Becca Balint, seeking a third term after winning reelection by more than 30 points in 2024, secured her party’s nomination in the August 11 primary with overwhelming support. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows her leading the Republican nominee, Gerald Malloy, by wide margins of 32 to 38 points. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in state voting patterns, underpin trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A realistic challenge would require an unprecedented national Republican wave, a late scandal affecting Balint, or significant changes in turnout among key voter blocs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$28,518समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vermont’s at-large congressional district has elected Democrats continuously since 1990, reflecting consistent voter preferences in a state with no Republican House winner since 1988. Incumbent Democrat Becca Balint, seeking a third term after winning reelection by more than 30 points in 2024, secured her party’s nomination in the August 11 primary with overwhelming support. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows her leading the Republican nominee, Gerald Malloy, by wide margins of 32 to 38 points. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in state voting patterns, underpin trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A realistic challenge would require an unprecedented national Republican wave, a late scandal affecting Balint, or significant changes in turnout among key voter blocs.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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