Recent US-mediated talks, including the arrival of envoys in Moscow on September 5, 2026, for discussions with Russian leadership ahead of a planned Kyiv visit, have produced only a brief pause in capital strikes and no movement on core issues. Russia continues to insist on Ukrainian withdrawal from remaining Donbas areas it controls, permanent NATO exclusion, and limits on Ukrainian forces, positions Ukraine rejects as unacceptable without robust security guarantees. Earlier 2026 trilateral rounds yielded prisoner exchanges but stalled on territory and postwar arrangements. With negotiations slated to resume only after late-September Russian parliamentary elections and fundamental gaps persisting, traders see little prospect of a comprehensive peace agreement materializing before the October 31 deadline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
7% संभावना
नया
नया
31 अक्टू, 2026
हाँ
7% संभावना
नया
नया
31 अक्टू, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent US-mediated talks, including the arrival of envoys in Moscow on September 5, 2026, for discussions with Russian leadership ahead of a planned Kyiv visit, have produced only a brief pause in capital strikes and no movement on core issues. Russia continues to insist on Ukrainian withdrawal from remaining Donbas areas it controls, permanent NATO exclusion, and limits on Ukrainian forces, positions Ukraine rejects as unacceptable without robust security guarantees. Earlier 2026 trilateral rounds yielded prisoner exchanges but stalled on territory and postwar arrangements. With negotiations slated to resume only after late-September Russian parliamentary elections and fundamental gaps persisting, traders see little prospect of a comprehensive peace agreement materializing before the October 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 26, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$8,833समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 26, 2026, 5:43 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent US-mediated talks, including the arrival of envoys in Moscow on September 5, 2026, for discussions with Russian leadership ahead of a planned Kyiv visit, have produced only a brief pause in capital strikes and no movement on core issues. Russia continues to insist on Ukrainian withdrawal from remaining Donbas areas it controls, permanent NATO exclusion, and limits on Ukrainian forces, positions Ukraine rejects as unacceptable without robust security guarantees. Earlier 2026 trilateral rounds yielded prisoner exchanges but stalled on territory and postwar arrangements. With negotiations slated to resume only after late-September Russian parliamentary elections and fundamental gaps persisting, traders see little prospect of a comprehensive peace agreement materializing before the October 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$8,833समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 26, 2026, 5:43 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Recent US-mediated talks, including the arrival of envoys in Moscow on September 5, 2026, for discussions with Russian leadership ahead of a planned Kyiv visit, have produced only a brief pause in capital strikes and no movement on core issues. Russia continues to insist on Ukrainian withdrawal from remaining Donbas areas it controls, permanent NATO exclusion, and limits on Ukrainian forces, positions Ukraine rejects as unacceptable without robust security guarantees. Earlier 2026 trilateral rounds yielded prisoner exchanges but stalled on territory and postwar arrangements. With negotiations slated to resume only after late-September Russian parliamentary elections and fundamental gaps persisting, traders see little prospect of a comprehensive peace agreement materializing before the October 31 deadline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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