Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval near 37–39 percent as of early August 2026, with individual surveys ranging from the mid-30s to low-40s amid a net approval near –21. This positioning has produced closely matched probabilities across the 37.0–39.0 bins for the August 14 reading. Steady erosion since mid-2025, driven by persistent economic and foreign-policy pressures including Iran-related developments, has kept the figure in a narrow band without sharp daily swings. New survey releases, economic data, or diplomatic announcements in the coming days could shift the final tally enough to favor one narrow outcome over the others.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया37.5–37.9 38%
38.0–38.4 38%
38.5–38.9 38%
39.0+ 38%
<37.0
18%
37.0–37.4
37%
37.5–37.9
38%
38.0–38.4
38%
38.5–38.9
38%
39.0+
38%
37.5–37.9 38%
38.0–38.4 38%
38.5–38.9 38%
39.0+ 38%
<37.0
18%
37.0–37.4
37%
37.5–37.9
38%
38.0–38.4
38%
38.5–38.9
38%
39.0+
38%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval near 37–39 percent as of early August 2026, with individual surveys ranging from the mid-30s to low-40s amid a net approval near –21. This positioning has produced closely matched probabilities across the 37.0–39.0 bins for the August 14 reading. Steady erosion since mid-2025, driven by persistent economic and foreign-policy pressures including Iran-related developments, has kept the figure in a narrow band without sharp daily swings. New survey releases, economic data, or diplomatic announcements in the coming days could shift the final tally enough to favor one narrow outcome over the others.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



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