Fábio Mitidieri, the incumbent PSD governor seeking re-election, leads the Sergipe gubernatorial race as the clear market favorite. Recent August 2026 polls show him ahead in most stimulated scenarios with shares ranging from 37% to 44%, ahead of main challenger Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos), whose support varies between 23% and 46% across surveys. The six-candidate field remains fragmented, with Ricardo Marques (PL), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), Dr. Helton (PSOL), and Taty Cristina (DC) polling in single digits or lower. Candidacy registrations closed in mid-August ahead of the October 4 first round, and Mitidieri benefits from incumbency visibility plus recent polling gains that have widened his edge in several datasets. Traders reflect this positioning through elevated probability for the sitting governor.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाफ़ाबिओ 73%
वालमीर डी फ्रांसिस्किन्हो 20%
ताती क्रिस्टीना डी जीसस <1%
इमानुएल काचो <1%
$10,749 वॉल्यूम
$10,749 वॉल्यूम

फ़ाबिओ
73%

वालमीर डी फ्रांसिस्किन्हो
20%

ताती क्रिस्टीना डी जीसस
1%

इमानुएल काचो
1%

डॉ. हेल्टन
<1%

रिकार्डो मार्केस
<1%
फ़ाबिओ 73%
वालमीर डी फ्रांसिस्किन्हो 20%
ताती क्रिस्टीना डी जीसस <1%
इमानुएल काचो <1%
$10,749 वॉल्यूम
$10,749 वॉल्यूम

फ़ाबिओ
73%

वालमीर डी फ्रांसिस्किन्हो
20%

ताती क्रिस्टीना डी जीसस
1%

इमानुएल काचो
1%

डॉ. हेल्टन
<1%

रिकार्डो मार्केस
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Fábio Mitidieri, the incumbent PSD governor seeking re-election, leads the Sergipe gubernatorial race as the clear market favorite. Recent August 2026 polls show him ahead in most stimulated scenarios with shares ranging from 37% to 44%, ahead of main challenger Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos), whose support varies between 23% and 46% across surveys. The six-candidate field remains fragmented, with Ricardo Marques (PL), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), Dr. Helton (PSOL), and Taty Cristina (DC) polling in single digits or lower. Candidacy registrations closed in mid-August ahead of the October 4 first round, and Mitidieri benefits from incumbency visibility plus recent polling gains that have widened his edge in several datasets. Traders reflect this positioning through elevated probability for the sitting governor.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



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