Bakir Izetbegović leads the market at 60% as the SDA leader positions himself as the main challenger to the current ruling coalition, drawing on party infrastructure and voter frustration with the Troika government’s performance since 2022. Incumbent Denis Bećirović sits at 37% despite a broad 14-party alliance and his role as current Bosniak Presidency member and rotating chair since March 2026, with traders apparently pricing in coalition fatigue and the rematch dynamics from his 2022 victory. Semir Efendić remains marginal at 2.7% as a potential vote-splitter whose candidacy, announced earlier in the cycle, is viewed as more likely to erode SDA support ahead of the October 4 general election. No major late developments have shifted the positioning in recent weeks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाबोस्निया और हर्जेगोविना के अगले बोस्नियाई राष्ट्रपति?
बोस्निया और हर्जेगोविना के अगले बोस्नियाई राष्ट्रपति?
बकीर इज़ेतबेगोविक 60%
डेनिस बेचेरेविक 38%
सेमिर एफेंदिक 2.7%
$42,663 वॉल्यूम
$42,663 वॉल्यूम
3 अक्टू, 2026
बकीर इज़ेतबेगोविक
60%
डेनिस बेचेरेविक
38%
सेमिर एफेंदिक
3%
बकीर इज़ेतबेगोविक 60%
डेनिस बेचेरेविक 38%
सेमिर एफेंदिक 2.7%
$42,663 वॉल्यूम
$42,663 वॉल्यूम
3 अक्टू, 2026
बकीर इज़ेतबेगोविक
$13,847 वॉल्यूम
60%
डेनिस बेचेरेविक
$22,576 वॉल्यूम
38%
सेमिर एफेंदिक
$6,240 वॉल्यूम
3%
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Bakir Izetbegović leads the market at 60% as the SDA leader positions himself as the main challenger to the current ruling coalition, drawing on party infrastructure and voter frustration with the Troika government’s performance since 2022. Incumbent Denis Bećirović sits at 37% despite a broad 14-party alliance and his role as current Bosniak Presidency member and rotating chair since March 2026, with traders apparently pricing in coalition fatigue and the rematch dynamics from his 2022 victory. Semir Efendić remains marginal at 2.7% as a potential vote-splitter whose candidacy, announced earlier in the cycle, is viewed as more likely to erode SDA support ahead of the October 4 general election. No major late developments have shifted the positioning in recent weeks.
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$42,663समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Bakir Izetbegović leads the market at 60% as the SDA leader positions himself as the main challenger to the current ruling coalition, drawing on party infrastructure and voter frustration with the Troika government’s performance since 2022. Incumbent Denis Bećirović sits at 37% despite a broad 14-party alliance and his role as current Bosniak Presidency member and rotating chair since March 2026, with traders apparently pricing in coalition fatigue and the rematch dynamics from his 2022 victory. Semir Efendić remains marginal at 2.7% as a potential vote-splitter whose candidacy, announced earlier in the cycle, is viewed as more likely to erode SDA support ahead of the October 4 general election. No major late developments have shifted the positioning in recent weeks.
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$42,663समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Bakir Izetbegović leads the market at 60% as the SDA leader positions himself as the main challenger to the current ruling coalition, drawing on party infrastructure and voter frustration with the Troika government’s performance since 2022. Incumbent Denis Bećirović sits at 37% despite a broad 14-party alliance and his role as current Bosniak Presidency member and rotating chair since March 2026, with traders apparently pricing in coalition fatigue and the rematch dynamics from his 2022 victory. Semir Efendić remains marginal at 2.7% as a potential vote-splitter whose candidacy, announced earlier in the cycle, is viewed as more likely to erode SDA support ahead of the October 4 general election. No major late developments have shifted the positioning in recent weeks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासंबंधित
क्या दरिजाना फिलिपोविच 2026 के आम चुनाव के बाद बोस्निया और हर्जेगोविना की क्रोएट प्रेसीडेंसी सदस्य होंगी?
70%
हाँ
Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
87%
क्या सावो मिनिक 2026 रेपुब्लिका सर्प्सका राष्ट्रपति चुनाव जीतेंगे?
56%
हाँ
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न