Recent National Snow and Ice Data Center observations show Arctic sea ice extent tracking near the lower end of the post-2007 distribution through mid-August 2026, following a record-low winter maximum of 14.29 million square kilometers in March. Ensemble forecasts and statistical analogs, including a May projection of 4.49 million square kilometers at the September minimum, support the market's leading 4.4-4.6 million square kilometer bin as the most probable outcome. July melt rates aligned with recent decades amid above-average Arctic temperatures, while model consensus indicates limited potential for extremes below 4.2 or above 4.8 million square kilometers absent major shifts in atmospheric patterns. Updated NSIDC daily data and late-August Sea Ice Outlook revisions will refine trader assessments ahead of the seasonal minimum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाइस गर्मी में न्यूनतम आर्कटिक समुद्री बर्फ की सीमा?
इस गर्मी में न्यूनतम आर्कटिक समुद्री बर्फ की सीमा?
4.4-4.6 मिलियन वर्ग किमी 27.6%
4.6-4.8 मिलियन वर्ग किमी 19.5%
4.2-4.4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी 15.8%
<4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी 12%
$68,052 वॉल्यूम
$68,052 वॉल्यूम
1 अक्टू, 2026
<4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
12%
4.0-4.2m वर्ग किमी
8%
4.2-4.4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
16%
4.4-4.6 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
45%
4.6-4.8 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
20%
4.8-5 मिलियन वर्ग किलोमीटर
6%
5 मिलियन+ वर्ग किमी
2%
4.4-4.6 मिलियन वर्ग किमी 27.6%
4.6-4.8 मिलियन वर्ग किमी 19.5%
4.2-4.4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी 15.8%
<4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी 12%
$68,052 वॉल्यूम
$68,052 वॉल्यूम
1 अक्टू, 2026
<4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
$30,481 वॉल्यूम
12%
4.0-4.2m वर्ग किमी
$6,592 वॉल्यूम
8%
4.2-4.4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
$3,097 वॉल्यूम
16%
4.4-4.6 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
$3,128 वॉल्यूम
45%
4.6-4.8 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
$6,805 वॉल्यूम
20%
4.8-5 मिलियन वर्ग किलोमीटर
$3,475 वॉल्यूम
6%
5 मिलियन+ वर्ग किमी
$14,474 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Recent National Snow and Ice Data Center observations show Arctic sea ice extent tracking near the lower end of the post-2007 distribution through mid-August 2026, following a record-low winter maximum of 14.29 million square kilometers in March. Ensemble forecasts and statistical analogs, including a May projection of 4.49 million square kilometers at the September minimum, support the market's leading 4.4-4.6 million square kilometer bin as the most probable outcome. July melt rates aligned with recent decades amid above-average Arctic temperatures, while model consensus indicates limited potential for extremes below 4.2 or above 4.8 million square kilometers absent major shifts in atmospheric patterns. Updated NSIDC daily data and late-August Sea Ice Outlook revisions will refine trader assessments ahead of the seasonal minimum.
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 20, 2025, 6:43 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$68,052समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 20, 2025, 6:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Recent National Snow and Ice Data Center observations show Arctic sea ice extent tracking near the lower end of the post-2007 distribution through mid-August 2026, following a record-low winter maximum of 14.29 million square kilometers in March. Ensemble forecasts and statistical analogs, including a May projection of 4.49 million square kilometers at the September minimum, support the market's leading 4.4-4.6 million square kilometer bin as the most probable outcome. July melt rates aligned with recent decades amid above-average Arctic temperatures, while model consensus indicates limited potential for extremes below 4.2 or above 4.8 million square kilometers absent major shifts in atmospheric patterns. Updated NSIDC daily data and late-August Sea Ice Outlook revisions will refine trader assessments ahead of the seasonal minimum.
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
वॉल्यूम
$68,052समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 20, 2025, 6:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent National Snow and Ice Data Center observations show Arctic sea ice extent tracking near the lower end of the post-2007 distribution through mid-August 2026, following a record-low winter maximum of 14.29 million square kilometers in March. Ensemble forecasts and statistical analogs, including a May projection of 4.49 million square kilometers at the September minimum, support the market's leading 4.4-4.6 million square kilometer bin as the most probable outcome. July melt rates aligned with recent decades amid above-average Arctic temperatures, while model consensus indicates limited potential for extremes below 4.2 or above 4.8 million square kilometers absent major shifts in atmospheric patterns. Updated NSIDC daily data and late-August Sea Ice Outlook revisions will refine trader assessments ahead of the seasonal minimum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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