Recent polls show the SPD holding steady near 29 percent while the AfD leads at around 36 percent, six weeks before the September 20 vote, leaving the Social Democrats on course for notable seat losses from their current 34 but still competitive for mid-20s representation in the 71-seat Landtag. Incumbent Minister-President Manuela Schwesig’s modest recovery has narrowed the gap without overtaking the frontrunner, sustaining uncertainty over final proportional outcomes and coalition options. Traders’ clustering around the 18–25 seat ranges reflects this tight polling spread, modest SPD gains in the past month, and the 5 percent threshold’s impact on smaller parties. Further shifts in turnout among eastern German voters, late campaign developments on migration or the economy, or clearer coalition signals could move the SPD into higher or lower ranges before election night.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18-21 30%
22-25 27%
26-29 24%
30-33 14%
नया
नया
20 सित, 2026
<18
11%
18-21
30%
22-25
27%
26-29
24%
30-33
14%
34+
5%
18-21 30%
22-25 27%
26-29 24%
30-33 14%
नया
नया
20 सित, 2026
<18
$46 वॉल्यूम
11%
18-21
$181 वॉल्यूम
30%
22-25
$169 वॉल्यूम
27%
26-29
$181 वॉल्यूम
24%
30-33
$46 वॉल्यूम
14%
34+
$236 वॉल्यूम
5%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls show the SPD holding steady near 29 percent while the AfD leads at around 36 percent, six weeks before the September 20 vote, leaving the Social Democrats on course for notable seat losses from their current 34 but still competitive for mid-20s representation in the 71-seat Landtag. Incumbent Minister-President Manuela Schwesig’s modest recovery has narrowed the gap without overtaking the frontrunner, sustaining uncertainty over final proportional outcomes and coalition options. Traders’ clustering around the 18–25 seat ranges reflects this tight polling spread, modest SPD gains in the past month, and the 5 percent threshold’s impact on smaller parties. Further shifts in turnout among eastern German voters, late campaign developments on migration or the economy, or clearer coalition signals could move the SPD into higher or lower ranges before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$858समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls show the SPD holding steady near 29 percent while the AfD leads at around 36 percent, six weeks before the September 20 vote, leaving the Social Democrats on course for notable seat losses from their current 34 but still competitive for mid-20s representation in the 71-seat Landtag. Incumbent Minister-President Manuela Schwesig’s modest recovery has narrowed the gap without overtaking the frontrunner, sustaining uncertainty over final proportional outcomes and coalition options. Traders’ clustering around the 18–25 seat ranges reflects this tight polling spread, modest SPD gains in the past month, and the 5 percent threshold’s impact on smaller parties. Further shifts in turnout among eastern German voters, late campaign developments on migration or the economy, or clearer coalition signals could move the SPD into higher or lower ranges before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
वॉल्यूम
$858समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show the SPD holding steady near 29 percent while the AfD leads at around 36 percent, six weeks before the September 20 vote, leaving the Social Democrats on course for notable seat losses from their current 34 but still competitive for mid-20s representation in the 71-seat Landtag. Incumbent Minister-President Manuela Schwesig’s modest recovery has narrowed the gap without overtaking the frontrunner, sustaining uncertainty over final proportional outcomes and coalition options. Traders’ clustering around the 18–25 seat ranges reflects this tight polling spread, modest SPD gains in the past month, and the 5 percent threshold’s impact on smaller parties. Further shifts in turnout among eastern German voters, late campaign developments on migration or the economy, or clearer coalition signals could move the SPD into higher or lower ranges before election night.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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