Recent polling in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern has held AfD support steady near 35–36 percent ahead of the 20 September 2026 Landtag election, placing the party well ahead of the governing SPD at 28–29 percent while smaller parties such as the Left, CDU, Greens, and BSW remain in single digits. This positioning implies roughly two dozen to low-thirty seats once the 5 percent threshold, overhang, and leveling rules are applied to the 71-seat chamber, keeping the 24–27 and 28–31 seat ranges in close contention. Trader consensus reflects the limited recent movement in statewide surveys, modest SPD gains that have narrowed but not closed the gap, and uncertainty over final turnout and minor-party clearances that can shift the precise seat total by several mandates. Upcoming results from the 6 September Saxony-Anhalt election and any late-campaign shifts in eastern German voter sentiment could widen or narrow those bins before voting day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया28-31 32%
24-27 30%
32-35 26%
20-23 12%
नया
नया
20 सित, 2026
<20
4%
20-23
12%
24-27
30%
28-31
32%
32-35
26%
36+
5%
28-31 32%
24-27 30%
32-35 26%
20-23 12%
नया
नया
20 सित, 2026
<20
$50 वॉल्यूम
4%
20-23
$0 वॉल्यूम
12%
24-27
$0 वॉल्यूम
30%
28-31
$100 वॉल्यूम
32%
32-35
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
36+
$161 वॉल्यूम
5%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern has held AfD support steady near 35–36 percent ahead of the 20 September 2026 Landtag election, placing the party well ahead of the governing SPD at 28–29 percent while smaller parties such as the Left, CDU, Greens, and BSW remain in single digits. This positioning implies roughly two dozen to low-thirty seats once the 5 percent threshold, overhang, and leveling rules are applied to the 71-seat chamber, keeping the 24–27 and 28–31 seat ranges in close contention. Trader consensus reflects the limited recent movement in statewide surveys, modest SPD gains that have narrowed but not closed the gap, and uncertainty over final turnout and minor-party clearances that can shift the precise seat total by several mandates. Upcoming results from the 6 September Saxony-Anhalt election and any late-campaign shifts in eastern German voter sentiment could widen or narrow those bins before voting day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$311समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern has held AfD support steady near 35–36 percent ahead of the 20 September 2026 Landtag election, placing the party well ahead of the governing SPD at 28–29 percent while smaller parties such as the Left, CDU, Greens, and BSW remain in single digits. This positioning implies roughly two dozen to low-thirty seats once the 5 percent threshold, overhang, and leveling rules are applied to the 71-seat chamber, keeping the 24–27 and 28–31 seat ranges in close contention. Trader consensus reflects the limited recent movement in statewide surveys, modest SPD gains that have narrowed but not closed the gap, and uncertainty over final turnout and minor-party clearances that can shift the precise seat total by several mandates. Upcoming results from the 6 September Saxony-Anhalt election and any late-campaign shifts in eastern German voter sentiment could widen or narrow those bins before voting day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
वॉल्यूम
$311समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern has held AfD support steady near 35–36 percent ahead of the 20 September 2026 Landtag election, placing the party well ahead of the governing SPD at 28–29 percent while smaller parties such as the Left, CDU, Greens, and BSW remain in single digits. This positioning implies roughly two dozen to low-thirty seats once the 5 percent threshold, overhang, and leveling rules are applied to the 71-seat chamber, keeping the 24–27 and 28–31 seat ranges in close contention. Trader consensus reflects the limited recent movement in statewide surveys, modest SPD gains that have narrowed but not closed the gap, and uncertainty over final turnout and minor-party clearances that can shift the precise seat total by several mandates. Upcoming results from the 6 September Saxony-Anhalt election and any late-campaign shifts in eastern German voter sentiment could widen or narrow those bins before voting day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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