Recent polling averages place BSW at approximately 4%, positioning the 3-5% bracket as the leading trader consensus for the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election. Surveys from INSA and Infratest dimap through mid-August show the party hovering near or below the 5% parliamentary threshold amid AfD strength at 36% and SPD at 29%. BSW's eastern German support has moderated from earlier national peaks, influenced by competition in a fragmented field and limited gains in recent state trends. Campaign activities, including events featuring Sahra Wagenknecht and statements favoring cross-party cooperation, have not yet shifted aggregates materially. The 5-7% interval trails while sub-3% carries secondary weight, reflecting the narrow band around current vote intention data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMecklenburg - Vorpommern संसदीय चुनाव: BSW वोट शेयर?
3-5% 51%
<3% 31%
5-7% 17%
7%+ 2.6%
<3%
31%
3-5%
51%
5-7%
17%
7%+
3%
3-5% 51%
<3% 31%
5-7% 17%
7%+ 2.6%
<3%
31%
3-5%
51%
5-7%
17%
7%+
3%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 20, 2026, 2:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place BSW at approximately 4%, positioning the 3-5% bracket as the leading trader consensus for the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election. Surveys from INSA and Infratest dimap through mid-August show the party hovering near or below the 5% parliamentary threshold amid AfD strength at 36% and SPD at 29%. BSW's eastern German support has moderated from earlier national peaks, influenced by competition in a fragmented field and limited gains in recent state trends. Campaign activities, including events featuring Sahra Wagenknecht and statements favoring cross-party cooperation, have not yet shifted aggregates materially. The 5-7% interval trails while sub-3% carries secondary weight, reflecting the narrow band around current vote intention data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



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