Dauda Lawal, the incumbent Zamfara governor, emerged as the clear frontrunner after defecting from the PDP to the APC in March 2026 and securing unanimous adoption as the party's consensus candidate during May 2026 primaries, where he received over 301,000 affirmation votes across local government areas. Traders have priced this party consolidation, incumbency advantages, and alignment with the federal APC machinery at 77% implied probability for Lawal. Opposition figures such as Mahadi Aliyu Gusau and Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus trail at single-digit levels, reflecting limited primary competition and weaker organizational momentum ahead of the 2027 vote. No major recent shifts have altered this positioning, though the general election timeline leaves room for later developments in candidate nominations or alliances.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयादौदा लावल 77%
महादी अलीयू गुसाउ 9%
हमजा मूसा माई बुलावुस 7%
अहमद यहूजा 3.1%
नया
नया
6 फ़र, 2027
दौदा लावल
77%
महादी अलीयू गुसाउ
9%
हमजा मूसा माई बुलावुस
7%
अहमद यहूजा
3%
दौदा लावल 77%
महादी अलीयू गुसाउ 9%
हमजा मूसा माई बुलावुस 7%
अहमद यहूजा 3.1%
नया
नया
6 फ़र, 2027
दौदा लावल
$386 वॉल्यूम
77%
महादी अलीयू गुसाउ
$53 वॉल्यूम
9%
हमजा मूसा माई बुलावुस
$47 वॉल्यूम
7%
अहमद यहूजा
$119 वॉल्यूम
3%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Dauda Lawal, the incumbent Zamfara governor, emerged as the clear frontrunner after defecting from the PDP to the APC in March 2026 and securing unanimous adoption as the party's consensus candidate during May 2026 primaries, where he received over 301,000 affirmation votes across local government areas. Traders have priced this party consolidation, incumbency advantages, and alignment with the federal APC machinery at 77% implied probability for Lawal. Opposition figures such as Mahadi Aliyu Gusau and Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus trail at single-digit levels, reflecting limited primary competition and weaker organizational momentum ahead of the 2027 vote. No major recent shifts have altered this positioning, though the general election timeline leaves room for later developments in candidate nominations or alliances.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$605समाप्ति तिथि
6 फ़र, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Dauda Lawal, the incumbent Zamfara governor, emerged as the clear frontrunner after defecting from the PDP to the APC in March 2026 and securing unanimous adoption as the party's consensus candidate during May 2026 primaries, where he received over 301,000 affirmation votes across local government areas. Traders have priced this party consolidation, incumbency advantages, and alignment with the federal APC machinery at 77% implied probability for Lawal. Opposition figures such as Mahadi Aliyu Gusau and Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus trail at single-digit levels, reflecting limited primary competition and weaker organizational momentum ahead of the 2027 vote. No major recent shifts have altered this positioning, though the general election timeline leaves room for later developments in candidate nominations or alliances.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
वॉल्यूम
$605समाप्ति तिथि
6 फ़र, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Dauda Lawal, the incumbent Zamfara governor, emerged as the clear frontrunner after defecting from the PDP to the APC in March 2026 and securing unanimous adoption as the party's consensus candidate during May 2026 primaries, where he received over 301,000 affirmation votes across local government areas. Traders have priced this party consolidation, incumbency advantages, and alignment with the federal APC machinery at 77% implied probability for Lawal. Opposition figures such as Mahadi Aliyu Gusau and Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus trail at single-digit levels, reflecting limited primary competition and weaker organizational momentum ahead of the 2027 vote. No major recent shifts have altered this positioning, though the general election timeline leaves room for later developments in candidate nominations or alliances.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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