Nicolás Maduro faces four federal felony counts in the Southern District of New York, including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy, following his January 2026 capture and transfer to U.S. custody. He and his wife entered not guilty pleas at arraignment, with a June 2027 trial date set after a July 2026 hearing. Defense counsel has signaled plans to seek dismissal on head-of-state and conduct-based immunity grounds, citing Maduro’s prior official roles, while pre-trial motions are scheduled for November 2026. Historical precedent such as the Noriega prosecution offers limited guidance given the novel circumstances of a former head of state’s apprehension. These procedural hurdles, extended timeline, and possibility of partial resolutions or charge dismissals underpin trader consensus that conviction on every count remains unlikely.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
32% संभावना
$132,699 वॉल्यूम
$132,699 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2027
हाँ
32% संभावना
$132,699 वॉल्यूम
$132,699 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces four federal felony counts in the Southern District of New York, including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy, following his January 2026 capture and transfer to U.S. custody. He and his wife entered not guilty pleas at arraignment, with a June 2027 trial date set after a July 2026 hearing. Defense counsel has signaled plans to seek dismissal on head-of-state and conduct-based immunity grounds, citing Maduro’s prior official roles, while pre-trial motions are scheduled for November 2026. Historical precedent such as the Noriega prosecution offers limited guidance given the novel circumstances of a former head of state’s apprehension. These procedural hurdles, extended timeline, and possibility of partial resolutions or charge dismissals underpin trader consensus that conviction on every count remains unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$132,699समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces four federal felony counts in the Southern District of New York, including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy, following his January 2026 capture and transfer to U.S. custody. He and his wife entered not guilty pleas at arraignment, with a June 2027 trial date set after a July 2026 hearing. Defense counsel has signaled plans to seek dismissal on head-of-state and conduct-based immunity grounds, citing Maduro’s prior official roles, while pre-trial motions are scheduled for November 2026. Historical precedent such as the Noriega prosecution offers limited guidance given the novel circumstances of a former head of state’s apprehension. These procedural hurdles, extended timeline, and possibility of partial resolutions or charge dismissals underpin trader consensus that conviction on every count remains unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$132,699समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro faces four federal felony counts in the Southern District of New York, including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy, following his January 2026 capture and transfer to U.S. custody. He and his wife entered not guilty pleas at arraignment, with a June 2027 trial date set after a July 2026 hearing. Defense counsel has signaled plans to seek dismissal on head-of-state and conduct-based immunity grounds, citing Maduro’s prior official roles, while pre-trial motions are scheduled for November 2026. Historical precedent such as the Noriega prosecution offers limited guidance given the novel circumstances of a former head of state’s apprehension. These procedural hurdles, extended timeline, and possibility of partial resolutions or charge dismissals underpin trader consensus that conviction on every count remains unlikely.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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