**Trader consensus at 99.5% for an 11°C low in Wellington on September 5 reflects converging official forecasts and real-time observations showing a minimum near this threshold.** Northwest winds and mostly cloudy skies have kept overnight temperatures from dropping further, consistent with MetService and international model guidance (ECMWF/GFS) projecting a low of 11–12°C amid mild spring conditions. Historical September averages for the city fall in a similar 8–14°C range, with today’s northerly flow suppressing typical colder southerly influences. The market-implied probability aligns closely with verified station data indicating the low will settle at or very near 11°C. Only an unexpected late-day cooling spike or station-specific microclimate variation would realistically shift the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 सितंबर को वेलिंगटन में सबसे कम तापमान?
5 सितंबर को वेलिंगटन में सबसे कम तापमान?
11°C 99.6%
7°C या उससे कम <1%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
नया
नया
5 सित, 2026
7°C या उससे कम
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
100%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
11°C 99.6%
7°C या उससे कम <1%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
नया
नया
5 सित, 2026
7°C या उससे कम
$67 वॉल्यूम
1%
8°C
$76 वॉल्यूम
1%
9°C
$67 वॉल्यूम
<1%
10°C
$105 वॉल्यूम
<1%
11°C
$530 वॉल्यूम
100%
12°C
$1,793 वॉल्यूम
<1%
13°C
$3,206 वॉल्यूम
<1%
14°C
$45 वॉल्यूम
<1%
15°C
$1,055 वॉल्यूम
<1%
16°C
$1,055 वॉल्यूम
<1%
17°C या उससे अधिक
$1,045 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 99.5% for an 11°C low in Wellington on September 5 reflects converging official forecasts and real-time observations showing a minimum near this threshold.** Northwest winds and mostly cloudy skies have kept overnight temperatures from dropping further, consistent with MetService and international model guidance (ECMWF/GFS) projecting a low of 11–12°C amid mild spring conditions. Historical September averages for the city fall in a similar 8–14°C range, with today’s northerly flow suppressing typical colder southerly influences. The market-implied probability aligns closely with verified station data indicating the low will settle at or very near 11°C. Only an unexpected late-day cooling spike or station-specific microclimate variation would realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,045समाप्ति तिथि
5 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 99.5% for an 11°C low in Wellington on September 5 reflects converging official forecasts and real-time observations showing a minimum near this threshold.** Northwest winds and mostly cloudy skies have kept overnight temperatures from dropping further, consistent with MetService and international model guidance (ECMWF/GFS) projecting a low of 11–12°C amid mild spring conditions. Historical September averages for the city fall in a similar 8–14°C range, with today’s northerly flow suppressing typical colder southerly influences. The market-implied probability aligns closely with verified station data indicating the low will settle at or very near 11°C. Only an unexpected late-day cooling spike or station-specific microclimate variation would realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$9,045समाप्ति तिथि
5 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 99.5% for an 11°C low in Wellington on September 5 reflects converging official forecasts and real-time observations showing a minimum near this threshold.** Northwest winds and mostly cloudy skies have kept overnight temperatures from dropping further, consistent with MetService and international model guidance (ECMWF/GFS) projecting a low of 11–12°C amid mild spring conditions. Historical September averages for the city fall in a similar 8–14°C range, with today’s northerly flow suppressing typical colder southerly influences. The market-implied probability aligns closely with verified station data indicating the low will settle at or very near 11°C. Only an unexpected late-day cooling spike or station-specific microclimate variation would realistically shift the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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