Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs point to a Tokyo minimum near 23°C on August 31 under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly flow and modest humidity, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 24°C and 25°C. Persistent urban heat-island effects at the official station and residual warmth from a late-month cooling episode that produced a 20°C low on August 29 are key variables traders are weighing against slight model spread in overnight radiative cooling. Updated guidance issued August 30 shows only modest upward revision in low temperatures, keeping 23–25°C outcomes dominant while leaving room for small forecast adjustments before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया31 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
24°C 47%
25°C 32%
23°C 8%
22°C 5%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
12%
24°C
47%
25°C
32%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 47%
25°C 32%
23°C 8%
22°C 5%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
12%
24°C
47%
25°C
32%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs point to a Tokyo minimum near 23°C on August 31 under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly flow and modest humidity, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 24°C and 25°C. Persistent urban heat-island effects at the official station and residual warmth from a late-month cooling episode that produced a 20°C low on August 29 are key variables traders are weighing against slight model spread in overnight radiative cooling. Updated guidance issued August 30 shows only modest upward revision in low temperatures, keeping 23–25°C outcomes dominant while leaving room for small forecast adjustments before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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