Recent model guidance and historical climatology place Tokyo's overnight minimum near 24–26°C on August 24, with the near-even 25°C (49.5%) and 26°C (41%) market shares reflecting modest forecast spread in radiative cooling under the dominant Pacific high. Clear or partly cloudy skies allow greater longwave heat loss after sunset, while elevated humidity and light winds limit the drop; Tokyo’s urban heat island further buffers temperatures above rural baselines. Any increase in cloud cover or onshore flow from a distant tropical system could hold the low at 26°C, whereas drier, calmer conditions favor 25°C or lower. The Japan Meteorological Agency’s next updated guidance and evening observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया24 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
25°C 50%
26°C 41%
27°C 6%
24°C 6%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
6%
25°C
50%
26°C
41%
27°C
6%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 50%
26°C 41%
27°C 6%
24°C 6%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
6%
25°C
50%
26°C
41%
27°C
6%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance and historical climatology place Tokyo's overnight minimum near 24–26°C on August 24, with the near-even 25°C (49.5%) and 26°C (41%) market shares reflecting modest forecast spread in radiative cooling under the dominant Pacific high. Clear or partly cloudy skies allow greater longwave heat loss after sunset, while elevated humidity and light winds limit the drop; Tokyo’s urban heat island further buffers temperatures above rural baselines. Any increase in cloud cover or onshore flow from a distant tropical system could hold the low at 26°C, whereas drier, calmer conditions favor 25°C or lower. The Japan Meteorological Agency’s next updated guidance and evening observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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