Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models indicate persistent high pressure and elevated humidity across the Seoul-Incheon region, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows near 27–28 °C on August 7. With daytime highs forecast to reach 34–37 °C amid typical August climatology (average low ~23 °C), the warmest nights cluster around 28 °C, aligning with the 58.5 % market-implied probability. Short-range guidance shows no immediate frontal passage or increased cloud cover that would drop minima below 26 °C, while historical analogs for early-August heat events reinforce the current trader consensus around the 27–29 °C range. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया7 अगस्त को सियोल (इंचियोन) में सबसे कम तापमान?
28°C 59%
27°C 30%
29°C 7%
26°C 2%
23°C या उससे कम
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
30%
28°C
59%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
28°C 59%
27°C 30%
29°C 7%
26°C 2%
23°C या उससे कम
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
30%
28°C
59%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models indicate persistent high pressure and elevated humidity across the Seoul-Incheon region, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows near 27–28 °C on August 7. With daytime highs forecast to reach 34–37 °C amid typical August climatology (average low ~23 °C), the warmest nights cluster around 28 °C, aligning with the 58.5 % market-implied probability. Short-range guidance shows no immediate frontal passage or increased cloud cover that would drop minima below 26 °C, while historical analogs for early-August heat events reinforce the current trader consensus around the 27–29 °C range. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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