**Persistent heat and limited overnight cooling from the North Pacific high are keeping the lowest temperature in Incheon (Seoul’s official station) centered on 25–26 °C for August 26.** Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and cross-checked forecasts (Met Office, WeatherBug) project a daytime high near 29 °C and an overnight low of 25–26 °C under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds (3–6 kt), and high humidity (dew points 24–25 °C). These conditions suppress radiative cooling, sustaining near-tropical-night temperatures consistent with the ongoing heat-wave regime. Market-implied odds—26 °C at 54.5 % and 25 °C at 34 %—closely track this consensus. Probabilities drop sharply below 24 °C because no cold-air advection or stronger winds are expected to enhance cooling. Slightly warmer outcomes (27 °C+) carry modest weight only if cloud cover thins more than anticipated. With resolution occurring within hours and model runs stable, traders are pricing the most likely minimum at the upper end of the typical August climatological range (22–25 °C lows) given the current synoptic setup.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया26 अगस्त को सियोल (इंचियोन) में सबसे कम तापमान?
26°C 55%
25°C 34%
24°C 8%
27°C 6%
21°C या उससे कम
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
8%
25°C
34%
26°C
55%
27°C
6%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C या उससे अधिक
1%
26°C 55%
25°C 34%
24°C 8%
27°C 6%
21°C या उससे कम
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
8%
25°C
34%
26°C
55%
27°C
6%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C या उससे अधिक
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent heat and limited overnight cooling from the North Pacific high are keeping the lowest temperature in Incheon (Seoul’s official station) centered on 25–26 °C for August 26.** Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and cross-checked forecasts (Met Office, WeatherBug) project a daytime high near 29 °C and an overnight low of 25–26 °C under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds (3–6 kt), and high humidity (dew points 24–25 °C). These conditions suppress radiative cooling, sustaining near-tropical-night temperatures consistent with the ongoing heat-wave regime. Market-implied odds—26 °C at 54.5 % and 25 °C at 34 %—closely track this consensus. Probabilities drop sharply below 24 °C because no cold-air advection or stronger winds are expected to enhance cooling. Slightly warmer outcomes (27 °C+) carry modest weight only if cloud cover thins more than anticipated. With resolution occurring within hours and model runs stable, traders are pricing the most likely minimum at the upper end of the typical August climatological range (22–25 °C lows) given the current synoptic setup.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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