Recent forecast models from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF consensus indicate radiative cooling under clear skies and light northwest winds will drive Paris overnight temperatures to a minimum near 9°C, well below the early-September climatological average of about 12°C. This setup, with dew points supporting efficient heat loss and minimal cloud cover limiting downward longwave radiation, underpins the market's 93% implied probability for exactly 9°C. Historical analogs show similar clear, calm conditions producing lows 2–4°C below average. The outcome could shift only if unexpected mid-level moisture or a slight wind increase develops before dawn, though current model runs show low divergence on this point.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया10 सितंबर को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
9°C 100.0%
7°C या उससे कम 3%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
$8,493 वॉल्यूम
$8,493 वॉल्यूम
7°C या उससे कम
3%
8°C
<1%
9°C
100%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
9°C 100.0%
7°C या उससे कम 3%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
$8,493 वॉल्यूम
$8,493 वॉल्यूम
7°C या उससे कम
3%
8°C
<1%
9°C
100%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF consensus indicate radiative cooling under clear skies and light northwest winds will drive Paris overnight temperatures to a minimum near 9°C, well below the early-September climatological average of about 12°C. This setup, with dew points supporting efficient heat loss and minimal cloud cover limiting downward longwave radiation, underpins the market's 93% implied probability for exactly 9°C. Historical analogs show similar clear, calm conditions producing lows 2–4°C below average. The outcome could shift only if unexpected mid-level moisture or a slight wind increase develops before dawn, though current model runs show low divergence on this point.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न