**Persistent warm, humid conditions and limited overnight cooling are positioning the lowest temperature in New York City on August 6, 2026, in the mid-to-upper 70s°F range, consistent with market-implied probabilities favoring 78-79°F (43%) and 76-77°F (24%).** National Weather Service forecasts and other models indicate overnight lows around 75–78°F under a warm air mass, with high dew points, light winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms restricting radiational cooling. The urban heat island effect in NYC further elevates minimum temperatures by retaining heat from pavement and buildings. This aligns with the broader pattern of above-average August warmth, where typical lows near 70°F have been exceeded amid ongoing southerly flow and frontal activity without a significant cool-air intrusion. Recent model consensus and current observations show minimal day-to-day shifts, supporting trader consensus around these thresholds while leaving room for minor revisions if clearer skies or stronger winds develop overnight.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे कम तापमान?
6 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे कम तापमान?
78-79°F 43%
76-77°F 39%
74-75°F 15%
72-73°F 2%
नया
नया
6 अग, 2026
65°F या उससे कम
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
78-79°F 43%
76-77°F 39%
74-75°F 15%
72-73°F 2%
नया
नया
6 अग, 2026
65°F या उससे कम
$496 वॉल्यूम
<1%
66-67°F
$441 वॉल्यूम
<1%
68-69°F
$535 वॉल्यूम
1%
70-71°F
$799 वॉल्यूम
1%
72-73°F
$122 वॉल्यूम
2%
74-75°F
$364 वॉल्यूम
15%
76-77°F
$2,325 वॉल्यूम
39%
78-79°F
$1,077 वॉल्यूम
43%
80-81°F
$708 वॉल्यूम
<1%
82-83°F
$646 वॉल्यूम
<1%
84°F या उससे अधिक
$486 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions and limited overnight cooling are positioning the lowest temperature in New York City on August 6, 2026, in the mid-to-upper 70s°F range, consistent with market-implied probabilities favoring 78-79°F (43%) and 76-77°F (24%).**
National Weather Service forecasts and other models indicate overnight lows around 75–78°F under a warm air mass, with high dew points, light winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms restricting radiational cooling. The urban heat island effect in NYC further elevates minimum temperatures by retaining heat from pavement and buildings. This aligns with the broader pattern of above-average August warmth, where typical lows near 70°F have been exceeded amid ongoing southerly flow and frontal activity without a significant cool-air intrusion. Recent model consensus and current observations show minimal day-to-day shifts, supporting trader consensus around these thresholds while leaving room for minor revisions if clearer skies or stronger winds develop overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,998समाप्ति तिथि
6 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions and limited overnight cooling are positioning the lowest temperature in New York City on August 6, 2026, in the mid-to-upper 70s°F range, consistent with market-implied probabilities favoring 78-79°F (43%) and 76-77°F (24%).**
National Weather Service forecasts and other models indicate overnight lows around 75–78°F under a warm air mass, with high dew points, light winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms restricting radiational cooling. The urban heat island effect in NYC further elevates minimum temperatures by retaining heat from pavement and buildings. This aligns with the broader pattern of above-average August warmth, where typical lows near 70°F have been exceeded amid ongoing southerly flow and frontal activity without a significant cool-air intrusion. Recent model consensus and current observations show minimal day-to-day shifts, supporting trader consensus around these thresholds while leaving room for minor revisions if clearer skies or stronger winds develop overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$7,998समाप्ति तिथि
6 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ET**Persistent warm, humid conditions and limited overnight cooling are positioning the lowest temperature in New York City on August 6, 2026, in the mid-to-upper 70s°F range, consistent with market-implied probabilities favoring 78-79°F (43%) and 76-77°F (24%).** National Weather Service forecasts and other models indicate overnight lows around 75–78°F under a warm air mass, with high dew points, light winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms restricting radiational cooling. The urban heat island effect in NYC further elevates minimum temperatures by retaining heat from pavement and buildings. This aligns with the broader pattern of above-average August warmth, where typical lows near 70°F have been exceeded amid ongoing southerly flow and frontal activity without a significant cool-air intrusion. Recent model consensus and current observations show minimal day-to-day shifts, supporting trader consensus around these thresholds while leaving room for minor revisions if clearer skies or stronger winds develop overnight.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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