Recent model consensus from ECMWF and regional forecasts indicates an incoming perturbation will drive a notable temperature drop in Milan on September 10, with official guidance pointing to overnight lows near 18–19°C amid increasing easterly flow and scattered clouds. This synoptic shift from recent high-pressure warmth explains the closely matched market-implied odds between 22°C or higher (46.0%) and 12°C or below (41.5%), as ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in frontal timing, cold-air advection strength, and cloud impacts on radiative cooling. Historical September minima average around 15–17°C, but current conditions favor moderation unless the system intensifies or clears skies overnight. Traders will monitor updated runs from the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF for resolution thresholds tied to the daily minimum reading.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया10 सितंबर को मिलान में सबसे कम तापमान?
12°C या उससे कम 93%
22°C या अधिक 74%
16°C 26%
17°C 25%
12°C या उससे कम
93%
13°C
21%
14°C
21%
15°C
24%
16°C
26%
17°C
25%
18°C
23%
19°C
23%
20°C
20%
21°C
1%
22°C या अधिक
74%
12°C या उससे कम 93%
22°C या अधिक 74%
16°C 26%
17°C 25%
12°C या उससे कम
93%
13°C
21%
14°C
21%
15°C
24%
16°C
26%
17°C
25%
18°C
23%
19°C
23%
20°C
20%
21°C
1%
22°C या अधिक
74%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF and regional forecasts indicates an incoming perturbation will drive a notable temperature drop in Milan on September 10, with official guidance pointing to overnight lows near 18–19°C amid increasing easterly flow and scattered clouds. This synoptic shift from recent high-pressure warmth explains the closely matched market-implied odds between 22°C or higher (46.0%) and 12°C or below (41.5%), as ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in frontal timing, cold-air advection strength, and cloud impacts on radiative cooling. Historical September minima average around 15–17°C, but current conditions favor moderation unless the system intensifies or clears skies overnight. Traders will monitor updated runs from the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF for resolution thresholds tied to the daily minimum reading.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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