The market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for a 13°C high in Wellington on September 8 stems from real-time observations and forecast consensus showing a peak of 13°C (55°F) under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, light northwesterly winds around 5 mph, and stable atmospheric conditions. Official guidance from agencies like the Met Office and local models aligns on this value as the daily maximum, consistent with early spring climatology for the region where highs typically range 12–14°C. Minor model variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact reading by 1°C, but current data and the proximity to market resolution make deviations highly unlikely.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया8 सितंबर को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
13°C 99.8%
14°C <1%
8°C या उससे कम <1%
9°C <1%
$66,859 वॉल्यूम
$66,859 वॉल्यूम
8°C या उससे कम
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
13°C 99.8%
14°C <1%
8°C या उससे कम <1%
9°C <1%
$66,859 वॉल्यूम
$66,859 वॉल्यूम
8°C या उससे कम
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for a 13°C high in Wellington on September 8 stems from real-time observations and forecast consensus showing a peak of 13°C (55°F) under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, light northwesterly winds around 5 mph, and stable atmospheric conditions. Official guidance from agencies like the Met Office and local models aligns on this value as the daily maximum, consistent with early spring climatology for the region where highs typically range 12–14°C. Minor model variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact reading by 1°C, but current data and the proximity to market resolution make deviations highly unlikely.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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