Traders assign a 99.5% implied probability to a daily minimum of 22°C or higher in Jinan on August 23 because official and model forecasts consistently project overnight lows of 26–29°C amid typical late-summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, southerly flow, and daytime highs near 35°C prevent significant radiational cooling, keeping temperatures well above the long-term August average low of roughly 22°C. Recent model runs from regional meteorological centers show no incoming cold fronts or unusual subsidence that would drive sharper drops. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of northerly air or clear-sky radiative cooling exceeding current guidance, though such shifts remain improbable given the stable pattern and proximity to resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया23 अगस्त को जिनान में सबसे कम तापमान?
23 अगस्त को जिनान में सबसे कम तापमान?
22°C or higher 99.4%
21°C <1%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
$1,811 वॉल्यूम
$1,811 वॉल्यूम
23 अग, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
99%
22°C or higher 99.4%
21°C <1%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
$1,811 वॉल्यूम
$1,811 वॉल्यूम
23 अग, 2026
12°C or below
$125 वॉल्यूम
<1%
13°C
$137 वॉल्यूम
<1%
14°C
$125 वॉल्यूम
<1%
15°C
$135 वॉल्यूम
<1%
16°C
$220 वॉल्यूम
<1%
17°C
$126 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C
$130 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$115 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$130 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$249 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C or higher
$319 वॉल्यूम
99%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign a 99.5% implied probability to a daily minimum of 22°C or higher in Jinan on August 23 because official and model forecasts consistently project overnight lows of 26–29°C amid typical late-summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, southerly flow, and daytime highs near 35°C prevent significant radiational cooling, keeping temperatures well above the long-term August average low of roughly 22°C. Recent model runs from regional meteorological centers show no incoming cold fronts or unusual subsidence that would drive sharper drops. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of northerly air or clear-sky radiative cooling exceeding current guidance, though such shifts remain improbable given the stable pattern and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,811समाप्ति तिथि
23 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign a 99.5% implied probability to a daily minimum of 22°C or higher in Jinan on August 23 because official and model forecasts consistently project overnight lows of 26–29°C amid typical late-summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, southerly flow, and daytime highs near 35°C prevent significant radiational cooling, keeping temperatures well above the long-term August average low of roughly 22°C. Recent model runs from regional meteorological centers show no incoming cold fronts or unusual subsidence that would drive sharper drops. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of northerly air or clear-sky radiative cooling exceeding current guidance, though such shifts remain improbable given the stable pattern and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,811समाप्ति तिथि
23 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 99.5% implied probability to a daily minimum of 22°C or higher in Jinan on August 23 because official and model forecasts consistently project overnight lows of 26–29°C amid typical late-summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, southerly flow, and daytime highs near 35°C prevent significant radiational cooling, keeping temperatures well above the long-term August average low of roughly 22°C. Recent model runs from regional meteorological centers show no incoming cold fronts or unusual subsidence that would drive sharper drops. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of northerly air or clear-sky radiative cooling exceeding current guidance, though such shifts remain improbable given the stable pattern and proximity to resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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