Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for August 1, driven by persistent subtropical ridge influence, high boundary-layer moisture, and residual cloud cover following Typhoon Noul’s passage in late July. These conditions suppress radiative cooling while scattered showers and sea-breeze timing introduce modest variability around the early-August climatological overnight low of 25–26°C. Market-implied odds heavily favor 25°C and 24°C outcomes because current guidance clusters tightly in that range, with traders incorporating ensemble spread and potential for localized cooling under convective activity. Updated model runs and HKO briefings on August 1 will provide the final observational data for resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया1 अगस्त को हांगकांग में सबसे कम तापमान?
1 अगस्त को हांगकांग में सबसे कम तापमान?
25°C 42%
24°C 40%
23°C 13%
22°C <1%
नया
$18,269 वॉल्यूम
नया
$18,269 वॉल्यूम
1 अग, 2026
21°C या उससे कम
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
13%
24°C
44%
25°C
41%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C या अधिक
<1%
25°C 42%
24°C 40%
23°C 13%
22°C <1%
नया
$18,269 वॉल्यूम
नया
$18,269 वॉल्यूम
1 अग, 2026
21°C या उससे कम
$1,175 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$1,874 वॉल्यूम
1%
23°C
$2,908 वॉल्यूम
13%
24°C
$2,560 वॉल्यूम
44%
25°C
$3,123 वॉल्यूम
41%
26°C
$4,096 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$1,047 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$553 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$326 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C
$385 वॉल्यूम
<1%
31°C या अधिक
$221 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for August 1, driven by persistent subtropical ridge influence, high boundary-layer moisture, and residual cloud cover following Typhoon Noul’s passage in late July. These conditions suppress radiative cooling while scattered showers and sea-breeze timing introduce modest variability around the early-August climatological overnight low of 25–26°C. Market-implied odds heavily favor 25°C and 24°C outcomes because current guidance clusters tightly in that range, with traders incorporating ensemble spread and potential for localized cooling under convective activity. Updated model runs and HKO briefings on August 1 will provide the final observational data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$18,269समाप्ति तिथि
1 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for August 1, driven by persistent subtropical ridge influence, high boundary-layer moisture, and residual cloud cover following Typhoon Noul’s passage in late July. These conditions suppress radiative cooling while scattered showers and sea-breeze timing introduce modest variability around the early-August climatological overnight low of 25–26°C. Market-implied odds heavily favor 25°C and 24°C outcomes because current guidance clusters tightly in that range, with traders incorporating ensemble spread and potential for localized cooling under convective activity. Updated model runs and HKO briefings on August 1 will provide the final observational data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$18,269समाप्ति तिथि
1 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for August 1, driven by persistent subtropical ridge influence, high boundary-layer moisture, and residual cloud cover following Typhoon Noul’s passage in late July. These conditions suppress radiative cooling while scattered showers and sea-breeze timing introduce modest variability around the early-August climatological overnight low of 25–26°C. Market-implied odds heavily favor 25°C and 24°C outcomes because current guidance clusters tightly in that range, with traders incorporating ensemble spread and potential for localized cooling under convective activity. Updated model runs and HKO briefings on August 1 will provide the final observational data for resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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