**Clear skies and light winds overnight are the dominant drivers of trader sentiment for Beijing’s minimum temperature on August 31, 2026.** Multiple authoritative forecasts converge on a high near 28–30 °C under sunny conditions, with the overnight low expected between roughly 17–20 °C. This range aligns closely with the long-term climatological average low of 19.4 °C for the date and reflects stable high-pressure dominance with minimal moisture or cloud cover to trap heat. Model consensus points to calm or light northerly flow (generally <10 km/h), favoring efficient radiative cooling after sunset. Small forecast differences arise from subtle variations in boundary-layer humidity, exact wind speeds, and urban heat-island effects at official monitoring sites. These factors produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 16–20 °C, with 19 °C carrying a modest edge consistent with both recent model runs and historical norms. Lower outcomes (≤15 °C) receive minimal weight because no cold advection or stronger cooling mechanisms are indicated, while higher readings would require unexpected cloud cover or wind mixing that current guidance does not support. The market therefore prices genuine short-term uncertainty in the precise minimum rather than divergent large-scale weather regimes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया31 अगस्त को बीजिंग में सबसे कम तापमान?
31 अगस्त को बीजिंग में सबसे कम तापमान?
19°C 28%
17°C 27%
18°C 27%
16°C 26%
नया
नया
31 अग, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
8%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
28%
20°C
26%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 28%
17°C 27%
18°C 27%
16°C 26%
नया
नया
31 अग, 2026
13°C or below
$705 वॉल्यूम
<1%
14°C
$145 वॉल्यूम
<1%
15°C
$140 वॉल्यूम
8%
16°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
17°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
18°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
19°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
28%
20°C
$2 वॉल्यूम
26%
21°C
$280 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$171 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C or higher
$40 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light winds overnight are the dominant drivers of trader sentiment for Beijing’s minimum temperature on August 31, 2026.** Multiple authoritative forecasts converge on a high near 28–30 °C under sunny conditions, with the overnight low expected between roughly 17–20 °C. This range aligns closely with the long-term climatological average low of 19.4 °C for the date and reflects stable high-pressure dominance with minimal moisture or cloud cover to trap heat.
Model consensus points to calm or light northerly flow (generally <10 km/h), favoring efficient radiative cooling after sunset. Small forecast differences arise from subtle variations in boundary-layer humidity, exact wind speeds, and urban heat-island effects at official monitoring sites. These factors produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 16–20 °C, with 19 °C carrying a modest edge consistent with both recent model runs and historical norms. Lower outcomes (≤15 °C) receive minimal weight because no cold advection or stronger cooling mechanisms are indicated, while higher readings would require unexpected cloud cover or wind mixing that current guidance does not support. The market therefore prices genuine short-term uncertainty in the precise minimum rather than divergent large-scale weather regimes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,483समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light winds overnight are the dominant drivers of trader sentiment for Beijing’s minimum temperature on August 31, 2026.** Multiple authoritative forecasts converge on a high near 28–30 °C under sunny conditions, with the overnight low expected between roughly 17–20 °C. This range aligns closely with the long-term climatological average low of 19.4 °C for the date and reflects stable high-pressure dominance with minimal moisture or cloud cover to trap heat.
Model consensus points to calm or light northerly flow (generally <10 km/h), favoring efficient radiative cooling after sunset. Small forecast differences arise from subtle variations in boundary-layer humidity, exact wind speeds, and urban heat-island effects at official monitoring sites. These factors produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 16–20 °C, with 19 °C carrying a modest edge consistent with both recent model runs and historical norms. Lower outcomes (≤15 °C) receive minimal weight because no cold advection or stronger cooling mechanisms are indicated, while higher readings would require unexpected cloud cover or wind mixing that current guidance does not support. The market therefore prices genuine short-term uncertainty in the precise minimum rather than divergent large-scale weather regimes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,483समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and light winds overnight are the dominant drivers of trader sentiment for Beijing’s minimum temperature on August 31, 2026.** Multiple authoritative forecasts converge on a high near 28–30 °C under sunny conditions, with the overnight low expected between roughly 17–20 °C. This range aligns closely with the long-term climatological average low of 19.4 °C for the date and reflects stable high-pressure dominance with minimal moisture or cloud cover to trap heat. Model consensus points to calm or light northerly flow (generally <10 km/h), favoring efficient radiative cooling after sunset. Small forecast differences arise from subtle variations in boundary-layer humidity, exact wind speeds, and urban heat-island effects at official monitoring sites. These factors produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 16–20 °C, with 19 °C carrying a modest edge consistent with both recent model runs and historical norms. Lower outcomes (≤15 °C) receive minimal weight because no cold advection or stronger cooling mechanisms are indicated, while higher readings would require unexpected cloud cover or wind mixing that current guidance does not support. The market therefore prices genuine short-term uncertainty in the precise minimum rather than divergent large-scale weather regimes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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