Moonshot AI’s rapid iteration on the Kimi series—K2.5 in January 2026 and the open-weight K2.6 multimodal MoE (1T total parameters, 32B active) in April—has set expectations for K3 as the next major leap in agentic coding, tool use, and scale. A $500 million Series C closed in January specifically earmarked funds for K3 development and expanded compute, giving the company over $1.4 billion in reserves amid intensifying competition with models like DeepSeek V4. Reports from May 2026 point to a planned Q3 launch targeting roughly 2.5 trillion parameters, though no official confirmation or exact date has emerged and current company materials still highlight K2.6. Traders are watching for any developer conference, benchmark release, or regulatory signal that could accelerate or delay the timeline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$48,459 वॉल्यूम
June 30
3%
$48,459 वॉल्यूम
June 30
3%
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI’s rapid iteration on the Kimi series—K2.5 in January 2026 and the open-weight K2.6 multimodal MoE (1T total parameters, 32B active) in April—has set expectations for K3 as the next major leap in agentic coding, tool use, and scale. A $500 million Series C closed in January specifically earmarked funds for K3 development and expanded compute, giving the company over $1.4 billion in reserves amid intensifying competition with models like DeepSeek V4. Reports from May 2026 point to a planned Q3 launch targeting roughly 2.5 trillion parameters, though no official confirmation or exact date has emerged and current company materials still highlight K2.6. Traders are watching for any developer conference, benchmark release, or regulatory signal that could accelerate or delay the timeline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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