**Trader sentiment heavily favors a GPT-5.6 release in the June 22–28 window (67% implied probability) due to recent internal leaks and competitive pressure.** A May canary routing entry for the model in OpenAI’s Codex logs, combined with chief scientist Jakub Pachocki’s description of it as a “meaningful improvement” over GPT-5.5 in efficiency and safety, has fueled expectations of a rapid follow-up just weeks after the April GPT-5.5 launch. Heightened rivalry with Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and reports of potential price cuts have accelerated testing timelines. With no official announcement or model card as of June 14 and only minor GPT-5.5 updates in late May, the slim odds for an earlier drop (13% for June 15–21) reflect caution around typical OpenAI rollout patterns, while the 20% chance of delay past June 28 accounts for last-minute safety reviews or strategic timing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाJune 22–June 28 67.0%
Not released by June 28 20.2%
June 15–June 21 13%
June 8–June 14 <1%
$182,656 वॉल्यूम
$182,656 वॉल्यूम
28 जून, 2026
June 8–June 14
<1%
June 15–June 21
13%
June 22–June 28
67%
Not released by June 28
20%
June 22–June 28 67.0%
Not released by June 28 20.2%
June 15–June 21 13%
June 8–June 14 <1%
$182,656 वॉल्यूम
$182,656 वॉल्यूम
28 जून, 2026
June 8–June 14
$46,026 वॉल्यूम
<1%
June 15–June 21
$33,519 वॉल्यूम
13%
June 22–June 28
$25,352 वॉल्यूम
67%
Not released by June 28
$35,332 वॉल्यूम
20%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Trader sentiment heavily favors a GPT-5.6 release in the June 22–28 window (67% implied probability) due to recent internal leaks and competitive pressure.** A May canary routing entry for the model in OpenAI’s Codex logs, combined with chief scientist Jakub Pachocki’s description of it as a “meaningful improvement” over GPT-5.5 in efficiency and safety, has fueled expectations of a rapid follow-up just weeks after the April GPT-5.5 launch. Heightened rivalry with Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and reports of potential price cuts have accelerated testing timelines. With no official announcement or model card as of June 14 and only minor GPT-5.5 updates in late May, the slim odds for an earlier drop (13% for June 15–21) reflect caution around typical OpenAI rollout patterns, while the 20% chance of delay past June 28 accounts for last-minute safety reviews or strategic timing.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$182,656समाप्ति तिथि
28 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Trader sentiment heavily favors a GPT-5.6 release in the June 22–28 window (67% implied probability) due to recent internal leaks and competitive pressure.** A May canary routing entry for the model in OpenAI’s Codex logs, combined with chief scientist Jakub Pachocki’s description of it as a “meaningful improvement” over GPT-5.5 in efficiency and safety, has fueled expectations of a rapid follow-up just weeks after the April GPT-5.5 launch. Heightened rivalry with Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and reports of potential price cuts have accelerated testing timelines. With no official announcement or model card as of June 14 and only minor GPT-5.5 updates in late May, the slim odds for an earlier drop (13% for June 15–21) reflect caution around typical OpenAI rollout patterns, while the 20% chance of delay past June 28 accounts for last-minute safety reviews or strategic timing.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$182,656समाप्ति तिथि
28 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment heavily favors a GPT-5.6 release in the June 22–28 window (67% implied probability) due to recent internal leaks and competitive pressure.** A May canary routing entry for the model in OpenAI’s Codex logs, combined with chief scientist Jakub Pachocki’s description of it as a “meaningful improvement” over GPT-5.5 in efficiency and safety, has fueled expectations of a rapid follow-up just weeks after the April GPT-5.5 launch. Heightened rivalry with Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and reports of potential price cuts have accelerated testing timelines. With no official announcement or model card as of June 14 and only minor GPT-5.5 updates in late May, the slim odds for an earlier drop (13% for June 15–21) reflect caution around typical OpenAI rollout patterns, while the 20% chance of delay past June 28 accounts for last-minute safety reviews or strategic timing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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