Recent polling for Israel's October 27 legislative election shows The Democrats, the merged Labor-Meretz party led by Yair Golan, consistently projected at 8-11 Knesset seats. This range aligns with vote shares clustered between roughly 7% and 9%, producing the tight market pricing across adjacent buckets. The party's July primary achieved record turnout and finalized a diverse slate, yet support has remained steady without major post-merger momentum or erosion. Fragmented opposition dynamics, including competition from Yashar and Together for center-left voters, plus the broader anti-Netanyahu bloc's seat shortfall, limit upside or downside moves. Late-campaign events such as security developments or turnout shifts among left-leaning blocs could separate outcomes before election day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया9%+ 37%
7-8% 35%
6-7% 34%
6% से कम 32%
नया
नया
30 नव, 2026
6% से कम
32%
6-7%
34%
7-8%
35%
8-9%
31%
9%+
37%
9%+ 37%
7-8% 35%
6-7% 34%
6% से कम 32%
नया
नया
30 नव, 2026
6% से कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
32%
6-7%
$0 वॉल्यूम
34%
7-8%
$0 वॉल्यूम
35%
8-9%
$0 वॉल्यूम
31%
9%+
$0 वॉल्यूम
37%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 legislative election shows The Democrats, the merged Labor-Meretz party led by Yair Golan, consistently projected at 8-11 Knesset seats. This range aligns with vote shares clustered between roughly 7% and 9%, producing the tight market pricing across adjacent buckets. The party's July primary achieved record turnout and finalized a diverse slate, yet support has remained steady without major post-merger momentum or erosion. Fragmented opposition dynamics, including competition from Yashar and Together for center-left voters, plus the broader anti-Netanyahu bloc's seat shortfall, limit upside or downside moves. Late-campaign events such as security developments or turnout shifts among left-leaning blocs could separate outcomes before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
27 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 legislative election shows The Democrats, the merged Labor-Meretz party led by Yair Golan, consistently projected at 8-11 Knesset seats. This range aligns with vote shares clustered between roughly 7% and 9%, producing the tight market pricing across adjacent buckets. The party's July primary achieved record turnout and finalized a diverse slate, yet support has remained steady without major post-merger momentum or erosion. Fragmented opposition dynamics, including competition from Yashar and Together for center-left voters, plus the broader anti-Netanyahu bloc's seat shortfall, limit upside or downside moves. Late-campaign events such as security developments or turnout shifts among left-leaning blocs could separate outcomes before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
27 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27 legislative election shows The Democrats, the merged Labor-Meretz party led by Yair Golan, consistently projected at 8-11 Knesset seats. This range aligns with vote shares clustered between roughly 7% and 9%, producing the tight market pricing across adjacent buckets. The party's July primary achieved record turnout and finalized a diverse slate, yet support has remained steady without major post-merger momentum or erosion. Fragmented opposition dynamics, including competition from Yashar and Together for center-left voters, plus the broader anti-Netanyahu bloc's seat shortfall, limit upside or downside moves. Late-campaign events such as security developments or turnout shifts among left-leaning blocs could separate outcomes before election day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न