Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election project Otzma Yehudit, led by National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, at 6-9 Knesset seats, equating to roughly 5-7.5% of the vote amid a fragmented field. Trader positioning remains balanced across the 5-7.5% range because recent surveys from Kantar, Midgam, Lazar, and others show modest variation tied to right-wing bloc cohesion, undecided voters near 10%, and competition from Religious Zionism-Zehut and Likud slates. The party's finalized list, featuring Tally Gotliv in the second spot after her Likud defection, has produced limited polling movement. Separation could arise from shifts in right-wing turnout, late campaign events, or threshold dynamics affecting smaller parties before final vote counts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4.5% से कम 36%
6.5-7.5% 31%
4.5-5.5% 29%
7.5%+ 23%
नया
नया
30 नव, 2026
4.5% से कम
36%
4.5-5.5%
29%
5.5-6.5%
35%
6.5-7.5%
31%
7.5%+
23%
4.5% से कम 36%
6.5-7.5% 31%
4.5-5.5% 29%
7.5%+ 23%
नया
नया
30 नव, 2026
4.5% से कम
$13 वॉल्यूम
36%
4.5-5.5%
$13 वॉल्यूम
29%
5.5-6.5%
$26 वॉल्यूम
35%
6.5-7.5%
$13 वॉल्यूम
31%
7.5%+
$13 वॉल्यूम
23%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election project Otzma Yehudit, led by National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, at 6-9 Knesset seats, equating to roughly 5-7.5% of the vote amid a fragmented field. Trader positioning remains balanced across the 5-7.5% range because recent surveys from Kantar, Midgam, Lazar, and others show modest variation tied to right-wing bloc cohesion, undecided voters near 10%, and competition from Religious Zionism-Zehut and Likud slates. The party's finalized list, featuring Tally Gotliv in the second spot after her Likud defection, has produced limited polling movement. Separation could arise from shifts in right-wing turnout, late campaign events, or threshold dynamics affecting smaller parties before final vote counts.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$79समाप्ति तिथि
27 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election project Otzma Yehudit, led by National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, at 6-9 Knesset seats, equating to roughly 5-7.5% of the vote amid a fragmented field. Trader positioning remains balanced across the 5-7.5% range because recent surveys from Kantar, Midgam, Lazar, and others show modest variation tied to right-wing bloc cohesion, undecided voters near 10%, and competition from Religious Zionism-Zehut and Likud slates. The party's finalized list, featuring Tally Gotliv in the second spot after her Likud defection, has produced limited polling movement. Separation could arise from shifts in right-wing turnout, late campaign events, or threshold dynamics affecting smaller parties before final vote counts.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
वॉल्यूम
$79समाप्ति तिथि
27 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election project Otzma Yehudit, led by National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, at 6-9 Knesset seats, equating to roughly 5-7.5% of the vote amid a fragmented field. Trader positioning remains balanced across the 5-7.5% range because recent surveys from Kantar, Midgam, Lazar, and others show modest variation tied to right-wing bloc cohesion, undecided voters near 10%, and competition from Religious Zionism-Zehut and Likud slates. The party's finalized list, featuring Tally Gotliv in the second spot after her Likud defection, has produced limited polling movement. Separation could arise from shifts in right-wing turnout, late campaign events, or threshold dynamics affecting smaller parties before final vote counts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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