**United Torah Judaism (UTJ), the Ashkenazi Haredi alliance, draws consistent support from its core ultra-Orthodox voter base ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election.** Recent polls project the party at 7–8 seats, translating to roughly 6–7% of the national vote and aligning with the market’s leading 6–7% outcome. Internal slate adjustments, including leadership changes and candidate refreshes driven partly by draft-law tensions, have not altered its polling trajectory. Haredi parties maintain high turnout and bloc loyalty, with limited crossover to other lists despite broader coalition negotiations and right-wing bloc competition. No major late shifts have emerged in the final weeks before candidate lists closed, keeping trader consensus centered on the narrow 5–7% range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6-7% 46%
5-6% 33%
7-8% 11%
5% से कम 8%
नया
नया
30 नव, 2026
5% से कम
8%
5-6%
33%
6-7%
46%
7-8%
11%
8%+
4%
6-7% 46%
5-6% 33%
7-8% 11%
5% से कम 8%
नया
नया
30 नव, 2026
5% से कम
$185 वॉल्यूम
8%
5-6%
$134 वॉल्यूम
33%
6-7%
$95 वॉल्यूम
46%
7-8%
$94 वॉल्यूम
11%
8%+
$285 वॉल्यूम
4%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).**United Torah Judaism (UTJ), the Ashkenazi Haredi alliance, draws consistent support from its core ultra-Orthodox voter base ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election.** Recent polls project the party at 7–8 seats, translating to roughly 6–7% of the national vote and aligning with the market’s leading 6–7% outcome. Internal slate adjustments, including leadership changes and candidate refreshes driven partly by draft-law tensions, have not altered its polling trajectory. Haredi parties maintain high turnout and bloc loyalty, with limited crossover to other lists despite broader coalition negotiations and right-wing bloc competition. No major late shifts have emerged in the final weeks before candidate lists closed, keeping trader consensus centered on the narrow 5–7% range.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$793समाप्ति तिथि
27 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).**United Torah Judaism (UTJ), the Ashkenazi Haredi alliance, draws consistent support from its core ultra-Orthodox voter base ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election.** Recent polls project the party at 7–8 seats, translating to roughly 6–7% of the national vote and aligning with the market’s leading 6–7% outcome. Internal slate adjustments, including leadership changes and candidate refreshes driven partly by draft-law tensions, have not altered its polling trajectory. Haredi parties maintain high turnout and bloc loyalty, with limited crossover to other lists despite broader coalition negotiations and right-wing bloc competition. No major late shifts have emerged in the final weeks before candidate lists closed, keeping trader consensus centered on the narrow 5–7% range.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
वॉल्यूम
$793समाप्ति तिथि
27 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**United Torah Judaism (UTJ), the Ashkenazi Haredi alliance, draws consistent support from its core ultra-Orthodox voter base ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election.** Recent polls project the party at 7–8 seats, translating to roughly 6–7% of the national vote and aligning with the market’s leading 6–7% outcome. Internal slate adjustments, including leadership changes and candidate refreshes driven partly by draft-law tensions, have not altered its polling trajectory. Haredi parties maintain high turnout and bloc loyalty, with limited crossover to other lists despite broader coalition negotiations and right-wing bloc competition. No major late shifts have emerged in the final weeks before candidate lists closed, keeping trader consensus centered on the narrow 5–7% range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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