Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election places Likud in a narrow band of roughly 22-24 seats, with some surveys showing modest gains after party primaries while others reflect continued pressure from Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party. Trader consensus on the 20-24 and 25-29 seat bands stems from this tight polling range, low primary turnout, and persistent competition that has trimmed Likud's projected total from its 32 seats in 2022. Security developments, shifts in right-wing bloc cohesion, and opposition performance could widen or narrow those probabilities before election day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया20-24 33%
25-29 28%
<20 18.1%
30-34 18%
$102,455 वॉल्यूम
$102,455 वॉल्यूम
26 अक्टू, 2026
<20
18%
20-24
33%
25-29
28%
30-34
18%
35+
7%
20-24 33%
25-29 28%
<20 18.1%
30-34 18%
$102,455 वॉल्यूम
$102,455 वॉल्यूम
26 अक्टू, 2026
<20
$33,123 वॉल्यूम
18%
20-24
$15,595 वॉल्यूम
33%
25-29
$24,767 वॉल्यूम
28%
30-34
$19,721 वॉल्यूम
18%
35+
$9,249 वॉल्यूम
7%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election places Likud in a narrow band of roughly 22-24 seats, with some surveys showing modest gains after party primaries while others reflect continued pressure from Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party. Trader consensus on the 20-24 and 25-29 seat bands stems from this tight polling range, low primary turnout, and persistent competition that has trimmed Likud's projected total from its 32 seats in 2022. Security developments, shifts in right-wing bloc cohesion, and opposition performance could widen or narrow those probabilities before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$102,455समाप्ति तिथि
27 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election places Likud in a narrow band of roughly 22-24 seats, with some surveys showing modest gains after party primaries while others reflect continued pressure from Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party. Trader consensus on the 20-24 and 25-29 seat bands stems from this tight polling range, low primary turnout, and persistent competition that has trimmed Likud's projected total from its 32 seats in 2022. Security developments, shifts in right-wing bloc cohesion, and opposition performance could widen or narrow those probabilities before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
वॉल्यूम
$102,455समाप्ति तिथि
27 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election places Likud in a narrow band of roughly 22-24 seats, with some surveys showing modest gains after party primaries while others reflect continued pressure from Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party. Trader consensus on the 20-24 and 25-29 seat bands stems from this tight polling range, low primary turnout, and persistent competition that has trimmed Likud's projected total from its 32 seats in 2022. Security developments, shifts in right-wing bloc cohesion, and opposition performance could widen or narrow those probabilities before election day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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