A strengthening El Niño in the tropical Pacific is the dominant driver suppressing 2026 Atlantic hurricane activity, with Niño 3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding +2°C and forecast to intensify further. This pattern elevates vertical wind shear across the Main Development Region, counteracting near-average Atlantic sea surface temperatures that would otherwise favor development. NOAA and Colorado State University outlooks project 3–6 or 4 hurricanes respectively, well below the 1991–2020 average of seven, consistent with early-season observations of only two named storms and zero hurricanes through late July. Trader sentiment remains closely divided between 1–3 and 4–6 outcomes because peak-season model runs and late-summer steering patterns could still permit modest activity despite the El Niño signal.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 में अटलांटिक तूफान के मौसम के दौरान कितने तूफान बनेंगे?
2026 में अटलांटिक तूफान के मौसम के दौरान कितने तूफान बनेंगे?
1-3 45%
4-6 36%
7+ 25%
0 7%
नया
नया
31 दिस, 2026
0
7%
1-3
45%
4-6
36%
7+
25%
1-3 45%
4-6 36%
7+ 25%
0 7%
नया
नया
31 दिस, 2026
0
$58 वॉल्यूम
7%
1-3
$0 वॉल्यूम
45%
4-6
$0 वॉल्यूम
36%
7+
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.A strengthening El Niño in the tropical Pacific is the dominant driver suppressing 2026 Atlantic hurricane activity, with Niño 3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding +2°C and forecast to intensify further. This pattern elevates vertical wind shear across the Main Development Region, counteracting near-average Atlantic sea surface temperatures that would otherwise favor development. NOAA and Colorado State University outlooks project 3–6 or 4 hurricanes respectively, well below the 1991–2020 average of seven, consistent with early-season observations of only two named storms and zero hurricanes through late July. Trader sentiment remains closely divided between 1–3 and 4–6 outcomes because peak-season model runs and late-summer steering patterns could still permit modest activity despite the El Niño signal.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$58समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.A strengthening El Niño in the tropical Pacific is the dominant driver suppressing 2026 Atlantic hurricane activity, with Niño 3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding +2°C and forecast to intensify further. This pattern elevates vertical wind shear across the Main Development Region, counteracting near-average Atlantic sea surface temperatures that would otherwise favor development. NOAA and Colorado State University outlooks project 3–6 or 4 hurricanes respectively, well below the 1991–2020 average of seven, consistent with early-season observations of only two named storms and zero hurricanes through late July. Trader sentiment remains closely divided between 1–3 and 4–6 outcomes because peak-season model runs and late-summer steering patterns could still permit modest activity despite the El Niño signal.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
वॉल्यूम
$58समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A strengthening El Niño in the tropical Pacific is the dominant driver suppressing 2026 Atlantic hurricane activity, with Niño 3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding +2°C and forecast to intensify further. This pattern elevates vertical wind shear across the Main Development Region, counteracting near-average Atlantic sea surface temperatures that would otherwise favor development. NOAA and Colorado State University outlooks project 3–6 or 4 hurricanes respectively, well below the 1991–2020 average of seven, consistent with early-season observations of only two named storms and zero hurricanes through late July. Trader sentiment remains closely divided between 1–3 and 4–6 outcomes because peak-season model runs and late-summer steering patterns could still permit modest activity despite the El Niño signal.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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