The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed sharply to around 4.95-4.98% as of September 11, 2026, driven by hotter-than-expected producer and consumer inflation readings, surging oil prices, and market-implied odds of a 25 basis point Fed funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting now exceeding 70-90%. Persistent above-target inflation near 3.4% year-over-year, combined with heavy Treasury issuance amid fiscal deficits and a rising term premium, has lifted yields from earlier 2026 levels and pushed the benchmark toward its highest since 2023. Traders are monitoring the FOMC outcome, upcoming jobs and retail sales data, and any further energy-driven inflation surprises for potential moves above the psychologically significant 5% threshold before month-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$29,154 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
5.10%
25%
5.05%
60%
5.00%
81%
4.97%
95%
$29,154 वॉल्यूम
5.10%
$6,836 वॉल्यूम
25%
5.05%
$2,144 वॉल्यूम
60%
5.00%
$2,106 वॉल्यूम
81%
4.97%
$2,567 वॉल्यूम
95%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed sharply to around 4.95-4.98% as of September 11, 2026, driven by hotter-than-expected producer and consumer inflation readings, surging oil prices, and market-implied odds of a 25 basis point Fed funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting now exceeding 70-90%. Persistent above-target inflation near 3.4% year-over-year, combined with heavy Treasury issuance amid fiscal deficits and a rising term premium, has lifted yields from earlier 2026 levels and pushed the benchmark toward its highest since 2023. Traders are monitoring the FOMC outcome, upcoming jobs and retail sales data, and any further energy-driven inflation surprises for potential moves above the psychologically significant 5% threshold before month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$29,154समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed sharply to around 4.95-4.98% as of September 11, 2026, driven by hotter-than-expected producer and consumer inflation readings, surging oil prices, and market-implied odds of a 25 basis point Fed funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting now exceeding 70-90%. Persistent above-target inflation near 3.4% year-over-year, combined with heavy Treasury issuance amid fiscal deficits and a rising term premium, has lifted yields from earlier 2026 levels and pushed the benchmark toward its highest since 2023. Traders are monitoring the FOMC outcome, upcoming jobs and retail sales data, and any further energy-driven inflation surprises for potential moves above the psychologically significant 5% threshold before month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
वॉल्यूम
$29,154समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed sharply to around 4.95-4.98% as of September 11, 2026, driven by hotter-than-expected producer and consumer inflation readings, surging oil prices, and market-implied odds of a 25 basis point Fed funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting now exceeding 70-90%. Persistent above-target inflation near 3.4% year-over-year, combined with heavy Treasury issuance amid fiscal deficits and a rising term premium, has lifted yields from earlier 2026 levels and pushed the benchmark toward its highest since 2023. Traders are monitoring the FOMC outcome, upcoming jobs and retail sales data, and any further energy-driven inflation surprises for potential moves above the psychologically significant 5% threshold before month-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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