Official forecasts from Environment Canada indicate sunny conditions and a 27°C high for Toronto on August 15 under a ridge promoting subsidence and strong daytime heating, yet Polymarket traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 25–26°C outcomes. Ensemble model spreads, potential moderating lake breezes off Lake Ontario, and minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or thin high cloud likely explain the narrow pricing gap between these bins. Historical August maxima near 25°C provide climatological context, while resolution hinges on official station readings meeting exact thresholds amid typical forecast error margins of 1–2°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 अगस्त को टोरंटो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15 अगस्त को टोरंटो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
26°C 42%
25°C 36%
24°C 11%
27°C 8%
नया
नया
15 अग, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
11%
25°C
36%
26°C
42%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
26°C 42%
25°C 36%
24°C 11%
27°C 8%
नया
नया
15 अग, 2026
19°C or below
$97 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$87 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$455 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$404 वॉल्यूम
2%
23°C
$442 वॉल्यूम
2%
24°C
$384 वॉल्यूम
11%
25°C
$210 वॉल्यूम
36%
26°C
$1,644 वॉल्यूम
42%
27°C
$386 वॉल्यूम
8%
28°C
$195 वॉल्यूम
2%
29°C or higher
$146 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada indicate sunny conditions and a 27°C high for Toronto on August 15 under a ridge promoting subsidence and strong daytime heating, yet Polymarket traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 25–26°C outcomes. Ensemble model spreads, potential moderating lake breezes off Lake Ontario, and minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or thin high cloud likely explain the narrow pricing gap between these bins. Historical August maxima near 25°C provide climatological context, while resolution hinges on official station readings meeting exact thresholds amid typical forecast error margins of 1–2°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,449समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada indicate sunny conditions and a 27°C high for Toronto on August 15 under a ridge promoting subsidence and strong daytime heating, yet Polymarket traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 25–26°C outcomes. Ensemble model spreads, potential moderating lake breezes off Lake Ontario, and minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or thin high cloud likely explain the narrow pricing gap between these bins. Historical August maxima near 25°C provide climatological context, while resolution hinges on official station readings meeting exact thresholds amid typical forecast error margins of 1–2°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$4,449समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment Canada indicate sunny conditions and a 27°C high for Toronto on August 15 under a ridge promoting subsidence and strong daytime heating, yet Polymarket traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 25–26°C outcomes. Ensemble model spreads, potential moderating lake breezes off Lake Ontario, and minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or thin high cloud likely explain the narrow pricing gap between these bins. Historical August maxima near 25°C provide climatological context, while resolution hinges on official station readings meeting exact thresholds amid typical forecast error margins of 1–2°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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