Persistent rain and northerly winds from an approaching weather system are capping Tokyo's daytime heating on September 6, with official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models converging on a maximum near 24–25°C under overcast skies and high humidity. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 24°C (40%) and 25°C (25%), as cloud cover and precipitation limit solar insolation compared to typical early-September climatology of 29°C highs. Recent model runs show minimal spread in peak temperatures, supporting the 23–25°C cluster (88% combined implied probability) while reducing odds for warmer thresholds above 26°C. Updated forecasts from the JMA and global models will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 सितंबर को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
6 सितंबर को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
24°C 40%
25°C 25%
23°C 23%
26°C 8%
नया
$11,698 वॉल्यूम
नया
$11,698 वॉल्यूम
6 सित, 2026
19°C या उससे कम
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
23%
24°C
40%
25°C
25%
26°C
8%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C या अधिक
<1%
24°C 40%
25°C 25%
23°C 23%
26°C 8%
नया
$11,698 वॉल्यूम
नया
$11,698 वॉल्यूम
6 सित, 2026
19°C या उससे कम
$1,245 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$1,076 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$289 वॉल्यूम
2%
22°C
$1,154 वॉल्यूम
3%
23°C
$1,965 वॉल्यूम
23%
24°C
$1,049 वॉल्यूम
40%
25°C
$2,055 वॉल्यूम
25%
26°C
$1,755 वॉल्यूम
8%
27°C
$505 वॉल्यूम
4%
28°C
$290 वॉल्यूम
1%
29°C या अधिक
$358 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and northerly winds from an approaching weather system are capping Tokyo's daytime heating on September 6, with official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models converging on a maximum near 24–25°C under overcast skies and high humidity. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 24°C (40%) and 25°C (25%), as cloud cover and precipitation limit solar insolation compared to typical early-September climatology of 29°C highs. Recent model runs show minimal spread in peak temperatures, supporting the 23–25°C cluster (88% combined implied probability) while reducing odds for warmer thresholds above 26°C. Updated forecasts from the JMA and global models will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$11,698समाप्ति तिथि
6 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and northerly winds from an approaching weather system are capping Tokyo's daytime heating on September 6, with official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models converging on a maximum near 24–25°C under overcast skies and high humidity. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 24°C (40%) and 25°C (25%), as cloud cover and precipitation limit solar insolation compared to typical early-September climatology of 29°C highs. Recent model runs show minimal spread in peak temperatures, supporting the 23–25°C cluster (88% combined implied probability) while reducing odds for warmer thresholds above 26°C. Updated forecasts from the JMA and global models will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$11,698समाप्ति तिथि
6 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and northerly winds from an approaching weather system are capping Tokyo's daytime heating on September 6, with official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models converging on a maximum near 24–25°C under overcast skies and high humidity. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 24°C (40%) and 25°C (25%), as cloud cover and precipitation limit solar insolation compared to typical early-September climatology of 29°C highs. Recent model runs show minimal spread in peak temperatures, supporting the 23–25°C cluster (88% combined implied probability) while reducing odds for warmer thresholds above 26°C. Updated forecasts from the JMA and global models will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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