**Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and supporting numerical weather models underpin the 95.5% market-implied probability for a 25°C high in Tokyo on September 5.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly flow are limiting daytime heating, keeping temperatures aligned with the lower end of seasonal norms rather than the typical late-summer peak near 29°C. Current observations and short-range model runs show afternoon maxima stabilizing around 24–26°C amid high humidity and minimal insolation. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that boosts solar radiation or localized model biases in boundary-layer mixing, though JMA guidance and ensemble consensus indicate low likelihood of deviation beyond 26°C by market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 सितंबर को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
5 सितंबर को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
25°C 95%
26°C 5%
27°C <1%
31°C या उससे अधिक <1%
$84,061 वॉल्यूम
$84,061 वॉल्यूम
5 सित, 2026
21°C या इससे कम
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
95%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
25°C 95%
26°C 5%
27°C <1%
31°C या उससे अधिक <1%
$84,061 वॉल्यूम
$84,061 वॉल्यूम
5 सित, 2026
21°C या इससे कम
$1,998 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$10,332 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$13,956 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$12,780 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$7,024 वॉल्यूम
95%
26°C
$7,418 वॉल्यूम
5%
27°C
$5,906 वॉल्यूम
1%
28°C
$3,487 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$1,135 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C
$2,118 वॉल्यूम
<1%
31°C या उससे अधिक
$17,908 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and supporting numerical weather models underpin the 95.5% market-implied probability for a 25°C high in Tokyo on September 5.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly flow are limiting daytime heating, keeping temperatures aligned with the lower end of seasonal norms rather than the typical late-summer peak near 29°C. Current observations and short-range model runs show afternoon maxima stabilizing around 24–26°C amid high humidity and minimal insolation.
Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that boosts solar radiation or localized model biases in boundary-layer mixing, though JMA guidance and ensemble consensus indicate low likelihood of deviation beyond 26°C by market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$84,061समाप्ति तिथि
5 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and supporting numerical weather models underpin the 95.5% market-implied probability for a 25°C high in Tokyo on September 5.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly flow are limiting daytime heating, keeping temperatures aligned with the lower end of seasonal norms rather than the typical late-summer peak near 29°C. Current observations and short-range model runs show afternoon maxima stabilizing around 24–26°C amid high humidity and minimal insolation.
Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that boosts solar radiation or localized model biases in boundary-layer mixing, though JMA guidance and ensemble consensus indicate low likelihood of deviation beyond 26°C by market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$84,061समाप्ति तिथि
5 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and supporting numerical weather models underpin the 95.5% market-implied probability for a 25°C high in Tokyo on September 5.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly flow are limiting daytime heating, keeping temperatures aligned with the lower end of seasonal norms rather than the typical late-summer peak near 29°C. Current observations and short-range model runs show afternoon maxima stabilizing around 24–26°C amid high humidity and minimal insolation. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that boosts solar radiation or localized model biases in boundary-layer mixing, though JMA guidance and ensemble consensus indicate low likelihood of deviation beyond 26°C by market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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