Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo highs for mid-August 2026 clustering around 29–31°C amid persistent summer high pressure and elevated humidity levels often exceeding 75%. These conditions, amplified by the urban heat island effect in the Tokyo metropolitan area, support trader consensus favoring 29–30°C outcomes, which together command over 70% implied probability. Short-range model runs show limited variability in steering patterns or frontal influences through the weekend, though minor shifts in afternoon cloud cover or sea breeze timing could differentiate the exact daily maximum. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
16 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
30°C 40%
29°C 32%
28°C 11%
31°C 10%
नया
नया
16 अग, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
11%
29°C
32%
30°C
40%
31°C
10%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 40%
29°C 32%
28°C 11%
31°C 10%
नया
नया
16 अग, 2026
24°C or below
$523 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$157 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$82 वॉल्यूम
1%
27°C
$606 वॉल्यूम
4%
28°C
$397 वॉल्यूम
11%
29°C
$1,119 वॉल्यूम
32%
30°C
$2,189 वॉल्यूम
40%
31°C
$314 वॉल्यूम
10%
32°C
$291 वॉल्यूम
4%
33°C
$315 वॉल्यूम
2%
34°C or higher
$131 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo highs for mid-August 2026 clustering around 29–31°C amid persistent summer high pressure and elevated humidity levels often exceeding 75%. These conditions, amplified by the urban heat island effect in the Tokyo metropolitan area, support trader consensus favoring 29–30°C outcomes, which together command over 70% implied probability. Short-range model runs show limited variability in steering patterns or frontal influences through the weekend, though minor shifts in afternoon cloud cover or sea breeze timing could differentiate the exact daily maximum. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,124समाप्ति तिथि
16 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo highs for mid-August 2026 clustering around 29–31°C amid persistent summer high pressure and elevated humidity levels often exceeding 75%. These conditions, amplified by the urban heat island effect in the Tokyo metropolitan area, support trader consensus favoring 29–30°C outcomes, which together command over 70% implied probability. Short-range model runs show limited variability in steering patterns or frontal influences through the weekend, though minor shifts in afternoon cloud cover or sea breeze timing could differentiate the exact daily maximum. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$6,124समाप्ति तिथि
16 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo highs for mid-August 2026 clustering around 29–31°C amid persistent summer high pressure and elevated humidity levels often exceeding 75%. These conditions, amplified by the urban heat island effect in the Tokyo metropolitan area, support trader consensus favoring 29–30°C outcomes, which together command over 70% implied probability. Short-range model runs show limited variability in steering patterns or frontal influences through the weekend, though minor shifts in afternoon cloud cover or sea breeze timing could differentiate the exact daily maximum. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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