Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for August 15, 2026, places the NYC high temperature (typically measured at Central Park) in the low-to-mid 80s under continued influence of a broad Bermuda High and light southerly flow. Ensemble means cluster near 82–84 °F, with limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon mixing and any weak sea-breeze development. This consensus aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, when the long-term average high is 83 °F, and explains why the 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F bins dominate trader probabilities at 48 % and 36.5 %, respectively. No strong warm or cool advection is forecast, keeping the chance of outliers (sub-80 °F or 86 °F+) low. Updated NWS forecast discussions and 12z model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data points that could shift the distribution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
15 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
82-83°F 48%
84-85°F 37%
80-81°F 10%
86-87°F 7%
नया
नया
15 अग, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
48%
84-85°F
37%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 48%
84-85°F 37%
80-81°F 10%
86-87°F 7%
नया
नया
15 अग, 2026
75°F or below
$575 वॉल्यूम
<1%
76-77°F
$404 वॉल्यूम
<1%
78-79°F
$500 वॉल्यूम
2%
80-81°F
$1,090 वॉल्यूम
10%
82-83°F
$1,465 वॉल्यूम
48%
84-85°F
$1,219 वॉल्यूम
37%
86-87°F
$641 वॉल्यूम
7%
88-89°F
$500 वॉल्यूम
2%
90-91°F
$614 वॉल्यूम
<1%
92-93°F
$301 वॉल्यूम
<1%
94°F or higher
$547 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for August 15, 2026, places the NYC high temperature (typically measured at Central Park) in the low-to-mid 80s under continued influence of a broad Bermuda High and light southerly flow. Ensemble means cluster near 82–84 °F, with limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon mixing and any weak sea-breeze development. This consensus aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, when the long-term average high is 83 °F, and explains why the 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F bins dominate trader probabilities at 48 % and 36.5 %, respectively. No strong warm or cool advection is forecast, keeping the chance of outliers (sub-80 °F or 86 °F+) low. Updated NWS forecast discussions and 12z model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data points that could shift the distribution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,858समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for August 15, 2026, places the NYC high temperature (typically measured at Central Park) in the low-to-mid 80s under continued influence of a broad Bermuda High and light southerly flow. Ensemble means cluster near 82–84 °F, with limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon mixing and any weak sea-breeze development. This consensus aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, when the long-term average high is 83 °F, and explains why the 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F bins dominate trader probabilities at 48 % and 36.5 %, respectively. No strong warm or cool advection is forecast, keeping the chance of outliers (sub-80 °F or 86 °F+) low. Updated NWS forecast discussions and 12z model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data points that could shift the distribution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$7,858समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and private model guidance for August 15, 2026, places the NYC high temperature (typically measured at Central Park) in the low-to-mid 80s under continued influence of a broad Bermuda High and light southerly flow. Ensemble means cluster near 82–84 °F, with limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon mixing and any weak sea-breeze development. This consensus aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, when the long-term average high is 83 °F, and explains why the 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F bins dominate trader probabilities at 48 % and 36.5 %, respectively. No strong warm or cool advection is forecast, keeping the chance of outliers (sub-80 °F or 86 °F+) low. Updated NWS forecast discussions and 12z model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data points that could shift the distribution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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