Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.5% implied probability to an 18°C high in Moscow on September 5, driven by consistent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and numerical models projecting daytime maxima of 16–18°C under persistent cloud cover, rain, and thunderstorms. Southwesterly winds shifting westerly at 6–11 m/s, combined with high humidity and pressure near 744–754 mmHg, suppress warming and align with typical early-September climatology for the region. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing the market-implied odds. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing or a temporary warm-air advection spike pushing verified observations to 19°C or above before sunset, though current conditions and ensemble guidance make this low-probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 सितंबर को मॉस्को में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
5 सितंबर को मॉस्को में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
18°C 99.5%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$34,687 वॉल्यूम
$34,687 वॉल्यूम
5 सित, 2026
13°C या उससे कम
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
18°C 99.5%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$34,687 वॉल्यूम
$34,687 वॉल्यूम
5 सित, 2026
13°C या उससे कम
$509 वॉल्यूम
<1%
14°C
$1,829 वॉल्यूम
<1%
15°C
$3,870 वॉल्यूम
<1%
16°C
$7,655 वॉल्यूम
<1%
17°C
$4,559 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C
$5,215 वॉल्यूम
100%
19°C
$4,440 वॉल्यूम
1%
20°C
$2,750 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$3,094 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$461 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C या उससे अधिक
$306 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.5% implied probability to an 18°C high in Moscow on September 5, driven by consistent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and numerical models projecting daytime maxima of 16–18°C under persistent cloud cover, rain, and thunderstorms. Southwesterly winds shifting westerly at 6–11 m/s, combined with high humidity and pressure near 744–754 mmHg, suppress warming and align with typical early-September climatology for the region. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing the market-implied odds. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing or a temporary warm-air advection spike pushing verified observations to 19°C or above before sunset, though current conditions and ensemble guidance make this low-probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$34,687समाप्ति तिथि
5 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.5% implied probability to an 18°C high in Moscow on September 5, driven by consistent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and numerical models projecting daytime maxima of 16–18°C under persistent cloud cover, rain, and thunderstorms. Southwesterly winds shifting westerly at 6–11 m/s, combined with high humidity and pressure near 744–754 mmHg, suppress warming and align with typical early-September climatology for the region. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing the market-implied odds. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing or a temporary warm-air advection spike pushing verified observations to 19°C or above before sunset, though current conditions and ensemble guidance make this low-probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$34,687समाप्ति तिथि
5 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.5% implied probability to an 18°C high in Moscow on September 5, driven by consistent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and numerical models projecting daytime maxima of 16–18°C under persistent cloud cover, rain, and thunderstorms. Southwesterly winds shifting westerly at 6–11 m/s, combined with high humidity and pressure near 744–754 mmHg, suppress warming and align with typical early-September climatology for the region. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing the market-implied odds. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing or a temporary warm-air advection spike pushing verified observations to 19°C or above before sunset, though current conditions and ensemble guidance make this low-probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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