Trader consensus on the Milan maximum temperature market reflects tight clustering of short-range weather model guidance around 23–24°C for September 18, with 23°C holding a narrow 35.5% implied probability edge. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS runs show modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, tempered by scattered showers that limit boundary-layer warming. Recent observations indicate surface dew points near 16–18°C and modest instability, keeping the distribution centered in the low-to-mid 20s rather than supporting a push toward 25°C or higher. Final model updates overnight will refine whether subtle differences in cloud cover or timing of any precipitation tip the outcome between the two leading bins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 सितंबर को मिलान में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
18 सितंबर को मिलान में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
23°C 35%
24°C 34%
25°C या उससे अधिक 19%
22°C 15%
नया
नया
18 सित, 2026
15°C या उससे कम
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
15%
23°C
35%
24°C
34%
25°C या उससे अधिक
19%
23°C 35%
24°C 34%
25°C या उससे अधिक 19%
22°C 15%
नया
नया
18 सित, 2026
15°C या उससे कम
$45 वॉल्यूम
<1%
16°C
$125 वॉल्यूम
<1%
17°C
$125 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C
$445 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$174 वॉल्यूम
1%
20°C
$129 वॉल्यूम
2%
21°C
$199 वॉल्यूम
5%
22°C
$381 वॉल्यूम
15%
23°C
$363 वॉल्यूम
35%
24°C
$444 वॉल्यूम
34%
25°C या उससे अधिक
$854 वॉल्यूम
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Milan maximum temperature market reflects tight clustering of short-range weather model guidance around 23–24°C for September 18, with 23°C holding a narrow 35.5% implied probability edge. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS runs show modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, tempered by scattered showers that limit boundary-layer warming. Recent observations indicate surface dew points near 16–18°C and modest instability, keeping the distribution centered in the low-to-mid 20s rather than supporting a push toward 25°C or higher. Final model updates overnight will refine whether subtle differences in cloud cover or timing of any precipitation tip the outcome between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,284समाप्ति तिथि
18 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Milan maximum temperature market reflects tight clustering of short-range weather model guidance around 23–24°C for September 18, with 23°C holding a narrow 35.5% implied probability edge. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS runs show modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, tempered by scattered showers that limit boundary-layer warming. Recent observations indicate surface dew points near 16–18°C and modest instability, keeping the distribution centered in the low-to-mid 20s rather than supporting a push toward 25°C or higher. Final model updates overnight will refine whether subtle differences in cloud cover or timing of any precipitation tip the outcome between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$3,284समाप्ति तिथि
18 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Milan maximum temperature market reflects tight clustering of short-range weather model guidance around 23–24°C for September 18, with 23°C holding a narrow 35.5% implied probability edge. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS runs show modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, tempered by scattered showers that limit boundary-layer warming. Recent observations indicate surface dew points near 16–18°C and modest instability, keeping the distribution centered in the low-to-mid 20s rather than supporting a push toward 25°C or higher. Final model updates overnight will refine whether subtle differences in cloud cover or timing of any precipitation tip the outcome between the two leading bins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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