Current model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles points to a peak temperature of 34–35°C in Milan on August 16, underpinning the tight market clustering at those levels with implied probabilities of 40% and 36%. A persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, minimal cloud cover, and light winds are favoring daytime heating, though slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any afternoon convection create the narrow spread between 33°C and 35°C outcomes. Mid-August climatology for Milan averages near 30°C, so this setup represents above-normal warmth without extreme heatwave criteria. Traders will monitor the next 12–24-hour model updates and official Italian meteorological service guidance for any adjustments to the maximum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अगस्त को मिलान में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
16 अगस्त को मिलान में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
34°C 41%
35°C 37%
33°C 25%
31°C or below 20%
नया
नया
16 अग, 2026
31°C or below
13%
32°C
11%
33°C
25%
34°C
41%
35°C
37%
36°C
4%
37°C
7%
38°C
5%
39°C
3%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 41%
35°C 37%
33°C 25%
31°C or below 20%
नया
नया
16 अग, 2026
31°C or below
$201 वॉल्यूम
13%
32°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
11%
33°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
25%
34°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
41%
35°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
37%
36°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
4%
37°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
7%
38°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
5%
39°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
3%
40°C
$20 वॉल्यूम
<1%
41°C or higher
$10 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles points to a peak temperature of 34–35°C in Milan on August 16, underpinning the tight market clustering at those levels with implied probabilities of 40% and 36%. A persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, minimal cloud cover, and light winds are favoring daytime heating, though slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any afternoon convection create the narrow spread between 33°C and 35°C outcomes. Mid-August climatology for Milan averages near 30°C, so this setup represents above-normal warmth without extreme heatwave criteria. Traders will monitor the next 12–24-hour model updates and official Italian meteorological service guidance for any adjustments to the maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$267समाप्ति तिथि
16 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles points to a peak temperature of 34–35°C in Milan on August 16, underpinning the tight market clustering at those levels with implied probabilities of 40% and 36%. A persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, minimal cloud cover, and light winds are favoring daytime heating, though slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any afternoon convection create the narrow spread between 33°C and 35°C outcomes. Mid-August climatology for Milan averages near 30°C, so this setup represents above-normal warmth without extreme heatwave criteria. Traders will monitor the next 12–24-hour model updates and official Italian meteorological service guidance for any adjustments to the maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$267समाप्ति तिथि
16 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles points to a peak temperature of 34–35°C in Milan on August 16, underpinning the tight market clustering at those levels with implied probabilities of 40% and 36%. A persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, minimal cloud cover, and light winds are favoring daytime heating, though slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any afternoon convection create the narrow spread between 33°C and 35°C outcomes. Mid-August climatology for Milan averages near 30°C, so this setup represents above-normal warmth without extreme heatwave criteria. Traders will monitor the next 12–24-hour model updates and official Italian meteorological service guidance for any adjustments to the maximum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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