Current forecasts from meteorological models for Madrid on August 1, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 38°C, driven by persistent high-pressure systems promoting clear skies, strong solar heating, and limited cloud cover or moisture in central Spain during peak summer. Madrid’s urban heat island effect and continental climate amplify daytime peaks, with historical August averages around 32–35°C but frequent excursions above 37°C under similar synoptic patterns. Recent model consensus and early observational data support the market-implied probabilities favoring 38°C (61.5%) over 39°C (31.5%), while lower or higher thresholds remain improbable absent unexpected shifts in wind or humidity. Updated short-range forecasts and official station readings will determine the precise recorded high.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया1 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
1 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
38°C 63%
39°C 32%
40°C 4.5%
37°C 3%
नया
$30,433 वॉल्यूम
नया
$30,433 वॉल्यूम
1 अग, 2026
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
3%
38°C
63%
39°C
32%
40°C
4%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
38°C 63%
39°C 32%
40°C 4.5%
37°C 3%
नया
$30,433 वॉल्यूम
नया
$30,433 वॉल्यूम
1 अग, 2026
34°C or below
$494 वॉल्यूम
<1%
35°C
$1,207 वॉल्यूम
<1%
36°C
$530 वॉल्यूम
1%
37°C
$10,273 वॉल्यूम
3%
38°C
$6,004 वॉल्यूम
63%
39°C
$5,213 वॉल्यूम
32%
40°C
$3,893 वॉल्यूम
4%
41°C
$1,183 वॉल्यूम
<1%
42°C
$827 वॉल्यूम
<1%
43°C
$378 वॉल्यूम
<1%
44°C or higher
$430 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models for Madrid on August 1, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 38°C, driven by persistent high-pressure systems promoting clear skies, strong solar heating, and limited cloud cover or moisture in central Spain during peak summer. Madrid’s urban heat island effect and continental climate amplify daytime peaks, with historical August averages around 32–35°C but frequent excursions above 37°C under similar synoptic patterns. Recent model consensus and early observational data support the market-implied probabilities favoring 38°C (61.5%) over 39°C (31.5%), while lower or higher thresholds remain improbable absent unexpected shifts in wind or humidity. Updated short-range forecasts and official station readings will determine the precise recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$30,433समाप्ति तिथि
1 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models for Madrid on August 1, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 38°C, driven by persistent high-pressure systems promoting clear skies, strong solar heating, and limited cloud cover or moisture in central Spain during peak summer. Madrid’s urban heat island effect and continental climate amplify daytime peaks, with historical August averages around 32–35°C but frequent excursions above 37°C under similar synoptic patterns. Recent model consensus and early observational data support the market-implied probabilities favoring 38°C (61.5%) over 39°C (31.5%), while lower or higher thresholds remain improbable absent unexpected shifts in wind or humidity. Updated short-range forecasts and official station readings will determine the precise recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$30,433समाप्ति तिथि
1 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models for Madrid on August 1, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 38°C, driven by persistent high-pressure systems promoting clear skies, strong solar heating, and limited cloud cover or moisture in central Spain during peak summer. Madrid’s urban heat island effect and continental climate amplify daytime peaks, with historical August averages around 32–35°C but frequent excursions above 37°C under similar synoptic patterns. Recent model consensus and early observational data support the market-implied probabilities favoring 38°C (61.5%) over 39°C (31.5%), while lower or higher thresholds remain improbable absent unexpected shifts in wind or humidity. Updated short-range forecasts and official station readings will determine the precise recorded high.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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