Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 33°C and 34°C for Karachi’s peak temperature on August 7 because official guidance and climatological data converge on that narrow range. August averages place daily highs near 32–33°C, with AccuWeather’s extended forecast showing a 31.2–34.4°C envelope and BBC guidance explicitly listing 33°C for the date. Coastal sea breezes, high humidity from the active monsoon, and periodic cloud cover typically cap intensification, while recent Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks indicate normal rainfall and no anomalous heat buildup. Model consensus leaves limited room for 35°C or higher, keeping those outcomes at low single-digit probabilities, and supports the market’s tight clustering around the long-term August mean.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया7 अगस्त को कराची में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
33°C 48%
34°C 35%
32°C 13%
35°C 3%
28°C या उससे कम
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
13%
33°C
48%
34°C
35%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C या अधिक
<1%
33°C 48%
34°C 35%
32°C 13%
35°C 3%
28°C या उससे कम
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
13%
33°C
48%
34°C
35%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C या अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 5, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 33°C and 34°C for Karachi’s peak temperature on August 7 because official guidance and climatological data converge on that narrow range. August averages place daily highs near 32–33°C, with AccuWeather’s extended forecast showing a 31.2–34.4°C envelope and BBC guidance explicitly listing 33°C for the date. Coastal sea breezes, high humidity from the active monsoon, and periodic cloud cover typically cap intensification, while recent Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks indicate normal rainfall and no anomalous heat buildup. Model consensus leaves limited room for 35°C or higher, keeping those outcomes at low single-digit probabilities, and supports the market’s tight clustering around the long-term August mean.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न