Recent official forecasts from Turkish meteorological sources and global models indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover on August 31, supporting peak temperatures near 27–28°C under stable high-pressure influence. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even split between 26°C and 27°C, stems from model spread in maximum insolation and boundary-layer mixing, where slight increases in wind speed or haze could cap readings at the lower end while clearer skies push toward the higher. Historical late-August baselines for Istanbul average around 28°C, but current cooler-than-normal sea surface temperatures in the Marmara and Black Seas provide a moderating effect via advection. Updated runs from agencies like MGM and ECMWF tomorrow morning represent the key upcoming data point that could shift odds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया31 अगस्त को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
26°C 49%
27°C 43%
28°C 6%
25°C 4%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
49%
27°C
43%
28°C
6%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 49%
27°C 43%
28°C 6%
25°C 4%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
49%
27°C
43%
28°C
6%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Turkish meteorological sources and global models indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover on August 31, supporting peak temperatures near 27–28°C under stable high-pressure influence. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even split between 26°C and 27°C, stems from model spread in maximum insolation and boundary-layer mixing, where slight increases in wind speed or haze could cap readings at the lower end while clearer skies push toward the higher. Historical late-August baselines for Istanbul average around 28°C, but current cooler-than-normal sea surface temperatures in the Marmara and Black Seas provide a moderating effect via advection. Updated runs from agencies like MGM and ECMWF tomorrow morning represent the key upcoming data point that could shift odds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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