**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service point to a high in the mid-to-upper 70s°F for Chicago on September 11, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover.** Ensemble means and guidance from sources such as GFS place the peak near 78°F, consistent with the long-term average high of about 78°F for the date, while some higher-resolution runs or bias-corrected outputs reach the low 80s. The market’s heavy weighting toward 80–81°F (60.5%) versus 78–79°F (24%) and 82–83°F (15.5%) reflects traders’ aggregation of these model spreads, recent verification trends, and the narrow resolution bins, with very low probabilities assigned to outliers given stable high-pressure conditions and the absence of strong warm advection or lake-breeze suppression. Updated model runs and afternoon observations on September 10 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया11 सितंबर को शिकागो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
80-81°F 60%
78-79°F 22%
82-83°F 18%
76-77°F 2%
$16,415 वॉल्यूम
$16,415 वॉल्यूम
71°F या उससे कम
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
60%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
80-81°F 60%
78-79°F 22%
82-83°F 18%
76-77°F 2%
$16,415 वॉल्यूम
$16,415 वॉल्यूम
71°F या उससे कम
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
60%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service point to a high in the mid-to-upper 70s°F for Chicago on September 11, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover.** Ensemble means and guidance from sources such as GFS place the peak near 78°F, consistent with the long-term average high of about 78°F for the date, while some higher-resolution runs or bias-corrected outputs reach the low 80s. The market’s heavy weighting toward 80–81°F (60.5%) versus 78–79°F (24%) and 82–83°F (15.5%) reflects traders’ aggregation of these model spreads, recent verification trends, and the narrow resolution bins, with very low probabilities assigned to outliers given stable high-pressure conditions and the absence of strong warm advection or lake-breeze suppression. Updated model runs and afternoon observations on September 10 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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