National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance position a Chicago high temperature of 76–78°F as the most probable outcome for August 24, reflecting a cooler-than-climatological pattern with northerly flow and limited daytime heating after recent frontal passage. Historical August normals near 82°F underscore the current anomaly, while short-range guidance shows tight clustering around the mid- to upper 70s with minimal spread across GFS and ECMWF runs. Traders appear to weigh the risk of slight model warming or urban heat-island effects that could push readings into the 78–79°F bin, though probabilities for 80°F or higher remain low absent unexpected southerly advection. Updated NWS point forecasts and hourly observations tomorrow morning will provide the final data for market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया24 अगस्त को शिकागो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
76-77°F 51%
78-79°F 37%
74-75°F 10%
80-81°F 6%
69°F या उससे कम
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
51%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
76-77°F 51%
78-79°F 37%
74-75°F 10%
80-81°F 6%
69°F या उससे कम
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
51%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance position a Chicago high temperature of 76–78°F as the most probable outcome for August 24, reflecting a cooler-than-climatological pattern with northerly flow and limited daytime heating after recent frontal passage. Historical August normals near 82°F underscore the current anomaly, while short-range guidance shows tight clustering around the mid- to upper 70s with minimal spread across GFS and ECMWF runs. Traders appear to weigh the risk of slight model warming or urban heat-island effects that could push readings into the 78–79°F bin, though probabilities for 80°F or higher remain low absent unexpected southerly advection. Updated NWS point forecasts and hourly observations tomorrow morning will provide the final data for market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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