Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a daily maximum of 21–23°C in Cape Town on August 12 because short-range forecasts from models such as those used by the South African Weather Service indicate a transient ridge of high pressure allowing warmer northerly flow ahead of the next cold front. This setup favors daytime highs several degrees above the long-term August average of 17–18°C, with ensemble spreads centered near 22°C. Typical winter variability from passing Atlantic fronts and the influence of the Benguela Current normally caps maxima near 18°C, yet current steering patterns and limited cloud cover support the market’s emphasis on the upper end of the seasonal range. Updated SAWS guidance and morning observations on the 11th will provide the final model consensus before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 अगस्त को केप टाउन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
22°C 38%
23°C 24%
21°C 23%
20°C 7%
16°C या उससे कम
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C
23%
22°C
38%
23°C
24%
24°C
6%
25°C
2%
26°C या उससे अधिक
1%
22°C 38%
23°C 24%
21°C 23%
20°C 7%
16°C या उससे कम
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C
23%
22°C
38%
23°C
24%
24°C
6%
25°C
2%
26°C या उससे अधिक
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a daily maximum of 21–23°C in Cape Town on August 12 because short-range forecasts from models such as those used by the South African Weather Service indicate a transient ridge of high pressure allowing warmer northerly flow ahead of the next cold front. This setup favors daytime highs several degrees above the long-term August average of 17–18°C, with ensemble spreads centered near 22°C. Typical winter variability from passing Atlantic fronts and the influence of the Benguela Current normally caps maxima near 18°C, yet current steering patterns and limited cloud cover support the market’s emphasis on the upper end of the seasonal range. Updated SAWS guidance and morning observations on the 11th will provide the final model consensus before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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