Latest National Weather Service and private model runs project a high near 98–100°F for Austin on August 31 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and continued high pressure. These conditions support strong daytime heating over the Edwards Plateau with minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs reach the mid-90s. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in peak values; small differences in timing of maximum insolation or boundary-layer mixing can shift the observed high across the 100°F threshold. Updated model cycles tomorrow morning will further narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया31 अगस्त को ऑस्टिन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31 अगस्त को ऑस्टिन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
98-99°F 50%
100-101°F 42%
96-97°F 6%
102-103°F 4%
नया
नया
31 अग, 2026
89°F या उससे कम
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
50%
100-101°F
42%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
98-99°F 50%
100-101°F 42%
96-97°F 6%
102-103°F 4%
नया
नया
31 अग, 2026
89°F या उससे कम
$58 वॉल्यूम
<1%
90-91°F
$87 वॉल्यूम
<1%
92-93°F
$206 वॉल्यूम
<1%
94-95°F
$85 वॉल्यूम
1%
96-97°F
$118 वॉल्यूम
6%
98-99°F
$572 वॉल्यूम
50%
100-101°F
$462 वॉल्यूम
42%
102-103°F
$488 वॉल्यूम
4%
104-105°F
$110 वॉल्यूम
1%
106-107°F
$140 वॉल्यूम
<1%
108°F या उससे अधिक
$140 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private model runs project a high near 98–100°F for Austin on August 31 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and continued high pressure. These conditions support strong daytime heating over the Edwards Plateau with minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs reach the mid-90s. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in peak values; small differences in timing of maximum insolation or boundary-layer mixing can shift the observed high across the 100°F threshold. Updated model cycles tomorrow morning will further narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,466समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private model runs project a high near 98–100°F for Austin on August 31 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and continued high pressure. These conditions support strong daytime heating over the Edwards Plateau with minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs reach the mid-90s. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in peak values; small differences in timing of maximum insolation or boundary-layer mixing can shift the observed high across the 100°F threshold. Updated model cycles tomorrow morning will further narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,466समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and private model runs project a high near 98–100°F for Austin on August 31 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and continued high pressure. These conditions support strong daytime heating over the Edwards Plateau with minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs reach the mid-90s. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in peak values; small differences in timing of maximum insolation or boundary-layer mixing can shift the observed high across the 100°F threshold. Updated model cycles tomorrow morning will further narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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