National Weather Service guidance positions a high near 104–105°F as the most probable outcome for Austin on August 23 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly winds across Central Texas. This setup promotes strong daytime heating through subsidence and minimal cloud cover, pushing temperatures 8°F above seasonal normals during the peak of meteorological summer. Trader consensus, reflected in the 59.5% implied probability for 104–105°F and 34% for 106–107°F, incorporates minor model spread and the limited risk of afternoon convection that could temper the peak. Historical August extremes and current heat-wave conditions support elevated readings, with resolution hinging on official airport observations once the diurnal maximum passes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया23 अगस्त को ऑस्टिन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
104-105°F 62%
106-107°F 36%
102-103°F 2%
108-109°F 1.4%
$22,833 वॉल्यूम
$22,833 वॉल्यूम
95°F या कम
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
62%
106-107°F
36%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
104-105°F 62%
106-107°F 36%
102-103°F 2%
108-109°F 1.4%
$22,833 वॉल्यूम
$22,833 वॉल्यूम
95°F या कम
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
62%
106-107°F
36%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance positions a high near 104–105°F as the most probable outcome for Austin on August 23 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly winds across Central Texas. This setup promotes strong daytime heating through subsidence and minimal cloud cover, pushing temperatures 8°F above seasonal normals during the peak of meteorological summer. Trader consensus, reflected in the 59.5% implied probability for 104–105°F and 34% for 106–107°F, incorporates minor model spread and the limited risk of afternoon convection that could temper the peak. Historical August extremes and current heat-wave conditions support elevated readings, with resolution hinging on official airport observations once the diurnal maximum passes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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