The upcoming December 2026 presidential and legislative elections, scheduled under a military-led transitional government installed after the November 2025 coup, feature a fragmented field that has kept trader probabilities dispersed. Fernando Dias da Costa and Umaro Sissoco Embaló, the two leading figures from the disputed prior contest, hold the highest implied probabilities amid uncertainty over party alignments, the August 2026 constitutional referendum, and ECOWAS-mediated transition rules that bar the interim leader from running. Multiple smaller candidates further dilute support, reflecting ongoing volatility in candidate eligibility, coalition formation, and institutional stability that could shift momentum once formal nominations and campaigning intensify.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयागिनी - बिसाऊ राष्ट्रपति चुनाव
गिनी - बिसाऊ राष्ट्रपति चुनाव
उमरो सिस्सोको एम्बालो 24.6%
सिगा बतिस्ता 6.5%
फर्नांडो डियास दा कोस्टा 3.1%
बासीरो जाँ 2.8%
$337,125 वॉल्यूम
$337,125 वॉल्यूम
उमरो सिस्सोको एम्बालो
14%
सिगा बतिस्ता
6%
फर्नांडो डियास दा कोस्टा
16%
बासीरो जाँ
3%
जोस मारियो वाज़
3%
जोआओ डी डिउस मेंडेस
3%
गेब्रियल फर्नांडो इंडी
3%
मामाडु इआइआ जलो
3%
होनोरियो ऑगस्टो लोप्स
3%
जोआओ बर्नार्डो विएरा
2%
मारियो दा सिल्वा जूनियर
2%
हेरकुलानो आर्मांडो बेकिन्सा
1%
उमरो सिस्सोको एम्बालो 24.6%
सिगा बतिस्ता 6.5%
फर्नांडो डियास दा कोस्टा 3.1%
बासीरो जाँ 2.8%
$337,125 वॉल्यूम
$337,125 वॉल्यूम
उमरो सिस्सोको एम्बालो
14%
सिगा बतिस्ता
6%
फर्नांडो डियास दा कोस्टा
16%
बासीरो जाँ
3%
जोस मारियो वाज़
3%
जोआओ डी डिउस मेंडेस
3%
गेब्रियल फर्नांडो इंडी
3%
मामाडु इआइआ जलो
3%
होनोरियो ऑगस्टो लोप्स
3%
जोआओ बर्नार्डो विएरा
2%
मारियो दा सिल्वा जूनियर
2%
हेरकुलानो आर्मांडो बेकिन्सा
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The upcoming December 2026 presidential and legislative elections, scheduled under a military-led transitional government installed after the November 2025 coup, feature a fragmented field that has kept trader probabilities dispersed. Fernando Dias da Costa and Umaro Sissoco Embaló, the two leading figures from the disputed prior contest, hold the highest implied probabilities amid uncertainty over party alignments, the August 2026 constitutional referendum, and ECOWAS-mediated transition rules that bar the interim leader from running. Multiple smaller candidates further dilute support, reflecting ongoing volatility in candidate eligibility, coalition formation, and institutional stability that could shift momentum once formal nominations and campaigning intensify.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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